Canada's economy jeopardized by Harper Conservatives, says Dion

MONCTON, N.B. (CP) - Canada will miss out on an "industrial revolution" unless voters replace Prime Minister Stephen Harper with the Liberals, says federal Liberal Leader Stephane Dion.

"He doesn't see the link between the environment and the economy," Dion told party supporters in Moncton on Tuesday.

"The prime minister of Canada a few weeks ago spoke about the so-called greenhouse gas emissions. He does not believe in the science of climate change."

Dion said his party is preparing an election platform based on the pillars of the environment, economy, and social justice.

"I want the best platform Canadians ever saw," Dion said in a short, campaign-style speech.

He announced Tuesday that New Brunswick MP Dominic LeBlanc will serve as vice-chair on the party's National Policy and Platform Committee.

There has been growing speculation of a federal election early this year.

Dion said he doesn't want an election now and needs to get his party prepared.

"I don't think Canadians want an election during the winter," he said, then joked: "Where is the winter?" - a reference to the unseasonably mild temperatures in much of the country.

The chances of an election decreased slightly last week with the defection of Liberal Wajid Khan to the Conservatives.

The move means the Harper government could pass legislation with only the support of the New Democrat's 29-member caucus.

NDP Leader Jack Layton has stated he will take the Harper government's legislative agenda issue by issue.

Dion told reporters it may not take an opposition party to force Harper to go to the polls.

"He's so far right that he has difficulties to build strong alliances with the other parties, and especially the official Opposition, and with mainstream Canadian people," Dion said.

"It's very frustrating for him and maybe he will come to the conclusion that he needs to ask the people for a clearer mandate."


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Canada December housing starts weaker than expected, down from Nov

VANCOUVER (CP) - Housing starts in Canada fell in December to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 211,500, as the volatile starts of apartments and condominiums slipped and the pace of growth in Alberta slowed somewhat, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

The consensus estimate had been for 225,000, while the rate in November was 229,300 units.

"This decline likely represents some unwinding of the uncharacteristic strength observed in the previous two months where multiple-unit starts leapt by 34%," TD Bank economist David Tulk wrote in a note to clients.

"Measured across Canada, December's weakness was shared by all regions with a 20.5% drop in the Prairies leading the decline."

Despite the weakness in December, the month capped a year when housing starts were at the highest level in nearly two decades, the federal housing agency said. New home starts are estimated at 227,400 in 2006.

Chief economist Bob Dugan said housing starts are expected to remain strong in 2007, but are forecast to decrease to 210,900 units.

"After two strong months in October and November, the volatile multiples segment fell in December and single-detached starts continued to trend downward, reaching their lowest level of the year," Dugan said in a statement.

RBC senior economist Dawn Desjardins suggested the data provided additional risks for the Bank of Canada to consider in its forecast for fourth-quarter growth.

"Real GDP at basic prices was reported to have stalled in October, setting up for a tepid fourth quarter, with growth likely to come in well below the bank's 2.8% annualized quarterly forecast," Desjardins wrote in a note to clients.

"For now, the balance of risks favour the bank holding policy steady as the core inflation rate remains above the midpoint of the one% to three% target band."

All regions saw urban starts fall nine% in December compared with 180,000 in November. Urban starts of apartments and condominiums fell 13.9% to 93,400 units in December, while single-dwelling starts fell three% to 86,600 units.

The largest declines were in the Prairie and Atlantic regions, where urban starts fell by 20.5% and 17.9%, respectively. British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec recorded smaller declines of 7.1%, 3.6%, and 1.5%, respectively.

Rural starts in December held steady at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 31,500 units.

Tulk suggested that 2007 would be more balanced as the pace of growth in Western Canada eases somewhat from a torrid 2006.

"Looking forward, while 2007 is unlikely to match the robust growth observed in housing starts over the last 12 months, solid fundamentals continue to underpin Canada's housing market," Tulk said.

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Peter MacKay not goig to China with Emerson

Canadian foreign affairs minister Peter MacKay will not be travelling to China with international trade minister David Emerson (here).

Jennifer Chiu, a spokesperson for the office of David Emerson, confirmed yesterday that MacKay is not going to China. MacKay is currently in Afghanistan.

The itinerary for Emerson has been confirmed. The "Green Technology Delegation" Emerson is leading will arrive in Hong Kong on Jan 14. The delegation will then head to Beijing on Jan 16-17, Shanghai on Jan 18-19.


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NDP urges feds to apologize for historic wrongdoing against Sikhs

LAYTON DEMANDS APOLOGY FOR THE KOMAGATA MARU
CALLS FOR THE CREATION OF A PERMANENT MEMORIAL

SURREY, B.C. - NDP Leader Jack Layton today addressed a chapter of Canadian history that has passed unrecognized for too long. Layton demanded the Conservative government read a formal apology in the House of Commons and recognize the government's role in the disgraceful incident of the Komagata Maru.

"The South Asian community faced appalling discrimination, and their perseverance in the face of injustice should be commemorated," said Layton. "The people of this community have been calling for official recognition of the Komagata Maru tragedy, and the NDP has heard the message loud and clear - the time to act is now."

>From 1908 to 1948, Canada implemented a Continuous Journey regulation with the aim of preventing Indians from coming to Canada. The rule stipulated that passengers could not come to Canada from India on a ship that made stops in other ports on the way. Because of the need to refuel and re-stock supplies, it was essentially impossible to come from India to Canada directly.

"One of our greatest strengths as Canadians is our ability to face the past, and learn from it," said Layton. "This is the time to exercise that strength."

A Japanese ship called the Komagata Maru sailed into the port of Vancouver on May 23, 1914. Prime Minister Robert Borden invoked the Continuous Journey rule to bar the passengers from disembarking. The people on the ship waited for two months on the brink of starvation in the port before battleships and local militia were called in to send them away. Upon their return to India, many of the passengers were jailed, and others shot, by British colonials.

"A permanent memorial should be erected by the federal government to serve as a reminder of the tremendous hurdles that members of the South Asian community faced when they fist came to Canada," said Layton. "It will also be a testament to the success of the South Asian community at overcoming these hurdles and a celebration of their invaluable contributions to Canadian society."

Layton also called on scholars and history teachers across Canada to take note of this event. "This is an important part of Canadian history. Every student should learn about the fate of the people aboard the Komagata Maru," concluded Layton.

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BC new construction sets $19.5b record, up 55%

From the ministry:

VICTORIA - New construction and development throughout British Columbia has hit a record assessed value of $19.5 billion, up 55% from a year ago, Rick Thorpe, Minister of Small Business and Revenue and Minister responsible for BC Assessment, announced today.

"We've just finished a year in which the assessed value of new construction reached nearly four times what it was in 2001," said Thorpe. "Record construction, small-business job creation and retail sales are just a few indicators of British Columbia's booming economy, which is benefiting every region of our province."

Regional gains in the value of new construction and development, by BC Assessment area offices, are as follows:

  • Capital (Greater Victoria and Southern Gulf Islands): $1.77 billion on the 2007 assessment roll, up 93% from the value of new construction and development shown on the 2006 assessment roll.
  • Central and Northern Vancouver Island: $1.43 billion, up 27.6%.
  • Fraser Valley: $2.37 billion, up 40.5%.
  • Kamloops Region: $513 million, up 139.4%.
  • Kootenays (including Nelson, Trail and Cranbrook): $536 million, up 49.7%.
  • North Fraser (including Burnaby and Coquitlam): $2.13 billion, up 48.6%.
  • North Shore/Squamish: $1.19 billion, up 28.1%.
  • Okanagan (including Vernon, Penticton, Kelowna): $2.66 billion, up 56.2%.
  • Peace River: $317 million, up 6.4%.
  • Prince George: $146 million, up 57.9%.
  • South Fraser (Surrey, White Rock, Richmond, Delta): $3.48 billion, up 95%.
  • Vancouver: $2.69 billion, up 49%.
BC Assessment calculated the most recent totals in completing its assessment roll for 2007. The new record smashes the $12.4 billion in new construction on the 2006 assessment roll and represents more than 3.6 times the $5.3 billion in new construction on the 2001 roll.

"It's been another phenomenal year for builders and tradespeople in every facet of construction and in every region of the province," said Philip Hochstein, executive vice president of the Independent Contractors and Businesses of British Columbia.

"British Columbia is increasingly attractive to investors, and the strong economy is encouraging people to enter or move up in the real estate market - all of which is creating unprecedented opportunities in residential construction," said M.J. Whitemarsh, CEO of the Canadian Home Builders' Association of British Columbia.

The total value of British Columbia property has also hit a record high of $808 billion, according to the 2007 assessment roll. This represents a rise of 23% from $658 billion in 2006. Between 1997 and 2001, British Columbia's total roll value hovered between $396 billion and $411 billion.

On Jan. 2, BC Assessment began sending 2007 assessment notices to more than 1.78 million British Columbia property owners provincewide. More information about BC Assessment and the 2007 roll, including area office news releases detailing growth in individual communities, is available at www.bcassessment.ca online.

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Chinese media battle hints at shift in nation's debate on intellectual property

NYT Shanghai - One of China's largest newspapers has filed a lawsuit against one of the country's leading Internet portals, claiming that it violated copyright laws, setting off a media war and highlighting the first signs of a possible shift in policies toward intellectual property rights here.

In the suit, which was filed in October and is expected to go to court soon, the paper, the Beijing News, is seeking US$400,000 in damages from a popular Internet site called Tom.com, alleging that it has copied and republished more than 25,000 articles and photos without authorization since 2003.

China has long had the reputation as a sort of no man's land for intellectual property rights, with companies in virtually every industry freely copying designs and other content from foreign companies and domestic rivals with little fear of punishment.

The lawsuit, however, is headed to court at a time of accelerating legal change and signs of increased efforts by law enforcement to protect copyrights and intellectual property. It is also a critical time for China's newspaper industry, which grew explosively in the last decade or so but now faces an even faster-growing rival: Internet-based news media.

Now, as in the US and many other countries, where computer use and broadband access are booming, newspapers are losing readers to large, corporate-owned Web sites.

What had set China apart from much of the rest of the world until recently was that these Web sites faced no legal obstacles in copying material from newspapers, often wholesale.

"There is a very brutal competition between newspapers -- with seven or eight big ones just in Beijing -- and now a big, new player, the Internet, wants to wipe them all out, to change the landscape," said Yu Guofu, a lawyer who specializes in intellectual property.

"The press is leading a hard life and facing an unpleasant future, but it has decided it is better to protect its rights than just sit and wait to die," Yu said.

A recent study shows that newspaper readership in China has declined sharply in the last three years, with the number of people who say they read a newspaper at least once a week falling to 22% last year from 26% in 2003.

A major presumed cause for the decline is that big Internet content providers, or portals, have become one-stop sources for all manner of information, including news.

Until recently, the general practice for most portals was to lift news and other information directly from other sources, sometimes crediting the original source and sometimes not, but rarely paying for the information.

The Beijing News lawsuit was filed a little more than a year after a meeting of major newspaper publishers in Nanjing at which strategies were discussed to shore up the industry's base and combat the leeching of content and readers by Internet companies.

"In terms of the law things are quite clear, that Tom's use of Beijing News' work without authorization clearly violates Beijing News' copyrights," said Yu Guoming (喻國明), dean of the school of journalism at Renmin University in Beijing.

"There are lots and lots of cases very similar to this one, but with this lawsuit, the traditional media is sending a very clear signal to the electronic media that their free lunch is over," Yu Guoming said.

A spokesman for Tom.com, Tu Jianglu, denied any violations.

"As a big company we respect copyright and property rights," he said. "I can only say that there are other facts that make this more complicated."

Until recently, China's laws have generally been anything but clear on intellectual property and have made it difficult to win a suit over an alleged infringement. Such an environment may have served China's needs earlier in its industrial takeoff, when its industries were straining to catch up with the West.

The battle in the news media reflects part of a shift in the intellectual property landscape as China's growing place in world trade has brought strong pressures to rein in wholesale piracy.

Zhang Xin, a spokesman for Sohu.com, a leading portal, said: "We've signed agreements with over 1,000 traditional news organizations in China, which means that if we use their articles or reports, we definitely have reached prior agreement with them."

An awareness also seems to be taking hold that Chinese companies cannot build strong brands in an environment where copying goes unpunished.

"To enhance the country's development we are trying to encourage innovation," said Xu Chao, vice director of the National Copyright Bureau, a government agency.

"We are placing more emphasis on intellectual property and have made improvements in the law. It used to be possible for traditional media or Internet media to simply copy each other's work, but now this has been forbidden," Xu said.
 
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Scotiabank forecasts growth led by China and India, lower interest rates

TORONTO (CP) - Global economic growth is set to moderate this year as China, India and other emerging countries outpace North America, Scotiabank's chief economist says.

In Canada, interest rates will likely fall and the Canadian dollar should rebound, Warren Jestin said Tuesday in an outlook report.

Growth in 2007 and 2008 is expected to slip to an average of about 2.5% in North America and 2% or less in Europe and Japan.

China should stay on a 9%-plus growth track, with India not far behind and growing by about 8% annually. Mexico, Brazil and a number of other countries will also continue to exceed the performance of the mature G7 countries by a significant margin.

"The near-term outlook will be driven by 'new age' factors related to the rising importance of Asia and other emerging regions," said Jestin.

"However, a powerful array of demographic factors linked to an aging world population, rising dependency ratios and inevitable labour shortages in developed nations is also looming on the horizon."

Scotiabank said it also expects short-term interest rates to head lower in both the United States and Canada, with "the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to trim rates by three-quarters of a percentage point by the summer, more if the housing setback deepens," Jestin said.

The Bank of Canada is likely to reduce its bellwether rate by half a percentage point as the disappointing economic performance in the second half of last year spills into 2007, he said.

The Canadian dollar, for its part, is likely to rebound later this year on the country's relatively sound domestic fundamentals and weak U.S. dollar underpinnings - positioning the country well "to attract global investors looking for opportunities in the resource sector or for low-risk ways to diversify U.S. dollar positions."

British Columbia will continue to outperform the national economy in 2007, led by a strong non-residential construction sector. Ongoing 2010 Winter Olympics preparations and activity in the energy and mining sectors will help offset weakness in the forestry sector.

Ontario's economic performance will remain below the national average as manufacturers continue to struggle with a strong Canadian dollar, high energy prices, intense overseas competition and moderating U.S. growth.

In New Brunswick, several large-scale energy projects should help sustain expansion in 2007, Jestin said, with mining activity benefiting from the reopening of zinc mines amid strong global demand.


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New book says Christian right = "American Fascists"

The holy blitz rolls on
The Christian right is a "deeply anti-democratic movement" that gains force by exploiting Americans' fears, argues Chris Hedges. Salon talks with the former New York Times reporter about his fearless new book, "American Fascists."

By Michelle Goldberg

Jan. 08, 2007 | Longtime war correspondent Chris Hedges, the former New York Times bureau chief in the Middle East and the Balkans, knows a lot about the savagery that people are capable of, especially when they're besotted with dreams of religious or national redemption. In his acclaimed 2002 book, "War Is a Force That Gives Us Meaning," he wrote: "I have been in ambushes on desolate stretches of Central American roads, shot at in the marshes of Southern Iraq, imprisoned in the Sudan, beaten by Saudi military police, deported from Libya and Iran, captured and held for a week by Iraqi Republican Guard during the Shiite rebellion following the Gulf War, strafed by Russian Mig-21s in Bosnia, fired upon by Serb snipers, and shelled for days in Sarajevo with deafening rounds of heavy artillery that threw out thousands of deadly bits of iron fragments." Hedges was part of New York Times team of reporters that won a 2002 Pulitzer Prize for explanatory reporting about global terrorism.

Given such intimacy with horror, one might expect him to be aloof from the seemingly less urgent cultural disputes that dominate domestic American politics. Yet in the rise of America's religious right, Hedges senses something akin to the brutal movements he's spent his life chronicling. The title of his new book speaks for itself: "American Fascists: The Christian Right and the War on America." Scores of volumes about the religious right have recently been published (one of them, "Kingdom Coming: The Rise of Christian Nationalism," by me), but Hedges' book is perhaps the most furious and foreboding, all the more so because he knows what fascism looks like.

Part of his outrage is theological. The son of a Presbyterian minister and a graduate of Harvard Divinity School, Hedges once planned to join the clergy himself. He speaks of the preachers he encountered while researching "American Fascists" as heretics, and he's appalled at their desecration of a faith he still cherishes, even if he no longer totally embraces it. Writing of Ohio megachurch pastor Rod Parsley and his close associate, GOP gubernatorial candidate Ken Blackwell, he says, "[T]he heart of the Christian religion, all that is good and compassionate within it, has been tossed aside, ruthlessly gouged out and thrown into a heap with all the other inner organs. Only the shell, the form, remains. Christianity is of no use to Parsley, Blackwell and the others. In its name they kill it."

I first met Hedges at last spring's War on Christians conference in Washington, D.C., where Parsley, a wildly charismatic Pentecostal who loves the language of holy war, electrified the crowd. ("I came to incite a riot!" he shouted. "Man your battle stations! Ready your weapons! Lock and load!") It was shortly before the publication of my book, and as Hedges and I spoke, we realized we had similar takes on our subject. Both of us relied on Hannah Arendt's analysis of totalitarian movements in their early stages, and on some of the concepts that historian Robert O. Paxton elucidated in his book "The Anatomy of Fascism." But where I, anxious not to be seen as hysterical, tried to treat these ideas gingerly, Hedges is unabashed and unsparing. His rage and contempt for the movement's leaders, though, is matched by sympathy for its followers, because he understands the despair, the desperate longing for community and even the idealism that often drives them.

Hedges spoke to me on the phone from his home in New Jersey.

Let's start with the title. A lot of liberals who write about the right see echoes of fascism in its rhetoric and organizing, but we tiptoe around it, because we don't want people to think that we're comparing James Dobson to Hitler or America to Weimar Germany. You, though, decided to be very bold in your comparisons to fascism.

You're right, "fascism" or "fascist" is a terribly loaded word, and it evokes a historical period, primarily that of the Nazis, and to a lesser extent Mussolini. But fascism as an ideology has generic qualities. People like Robert O. Paxton in the "Anatomy of Fascism" have tried to quantify them. Umberto Eco did it in "Five Moral Pieces," and I actually begin the book with an excerpt from Eco: "Eternal Fascism: Fourteen Ways of Looking at a Blackshirt." I think there are enough generic qualities that the group within the religious right, known as Christian Reconstructionists or dominionists, warrants the word. Does this mean that this is Nazi Germany? No. Does this mean that this is Mussolini's Italy? No. Does this mean that this is a deeply anti-democratic movement that would like to impose a totalitarian system? Yes.

You know, I come out of the church. I not only grew up in the church but graduated from seminary, and I look at this as a mass movement. I give it very little religious legitimacy, especially the extreme wing of it.

You say they would like to impose a totalitarian system. How much of a conscious goal do you think that is at the upper levels of organizing, with, say, somebody like Rod Parsley?

I think they're completely conscious of it. The level of manipulation is quite sophisticated. These people understand the medium of television, they understand the despair and brokenness of the people they appeal to, and how to manipulate them both for personal and financial gain. I look at these figures, and I would certainly throw James Dobson in there, or Pat Robertson, as really dark figures.

I think the vast majority of followers have no idea. There's an earnestness to many of the believers. I had the same experience you did -- I went in there prepared to really dislike these people and most of them just broke my heart. They're well meaning. Unfortunately, they're being manipulated and herded into a movement that's extremely dangerous. If these extreme elements actually manage to achieve power, they will horrify [their followers] in many ways. But that's true with all revolutionary movements.

The core of this movement is tiny, but you only need a tiny, disciplined, well-funded and well-organized group, and then you count on the sympathy of 80 million to 100 million evangelicals. And that's enough. Especially if you don't have countervailing forces, which we don't.

If there's a historical period that's analogous to the situation we have now, it would come close to being the 1930s in the United States. Obviously we're not in a depression, but the situation for the working class is very bleak, and the middle class is under assault. There has been a kind of Weimarization of the American working class, and there's a terrible instability in the middle class. And if we enter a period of political and social instability, this gives this movement the opportunity it's been waiting for. But it needs a crisis. All of these movements need a crisis to come to power, and we're not in a period of crisis.

How likely do you think a crisis is?

Very likely. The economy is not in healthy shape. I covered al-Qaida for a year for the New York Times. Every intelligence official I ever interviewed never talked about if, they only talked about when. They spoke about another catastrophic attack as an inevitability. The possibility of entering a period of instability is great, and then these movements become very frightening.

The difference between the 1930s and now is that we had powerful progressive forces through the labor unions, through an independent and vigorous press. I forget the figure but something like 80 percent of the media is controlled by seven corporations, something horrible like that. Television is just bankrupt. I worry that we don't have the organized forces within American society to protect our democracy in the way that we did in the 1930s.

Since the midterm election, many have suggested that the Christian right has peaked, and the movement has in fact suffered quite a few severe blows since both of our books came out.

It's suffered severe blows in the past too. It depends on how you view the engine of the movement. For me, the engine of the movement is deep economic and personal despair. A terrible distortion and deformation of American society, where tens of millions of people in this country feel completely disenfranchised, where their physical communities have been obliterated, whether that's in the Rust Belt in Ohio or these monstrous exurbs like Orange County, where there is no community. There are no community rituals, no community centers, often there are no sidewalks. People live in empty soulless houses and drive big empty cars on freeways to Los Angeles and sit in vast offices and then come home again. You can't deform your society to that extent, and you can't shunt people aside and rip away any kind of safety net, any kind of program that gives them hope, and not expect political consequences.

Democracies function because the vast majority live relatively stable lives with a degree of hope, and, if not economic prosperity, at least enough of an income to free them from severe want or instability. Whatever the Democrats say now about the war, they're not addressing the fundamental issues that have given rise to this movement.

But isn't there are a change in the Democratic Party, now that it's talking about class issues and economic issues more so than in the past?

Yes, but how far are they willing to go? The corporations that fund the Republican Party fund them. I don't hear anybody talking about repealing the bankruptcy bill, just like I don't hear them talking about torture. The Democrats recognize the problem, but I don't see anyone offering any kind of solutions that will begin to re-enfranchise people into American society. The fact that they can't get even get healthcare through is pretty depressing.

The argument you're now making sounds in some ways like Tom Frank's, which is basically that support for the religious right represents a kind of misdirected class warfare. But your book struck me differently -- it seemed to be much more about what this movement offers people psychologically.

Yeah, the economic is part of it, but you have large sections of the middle class that are bulwarks within this movement, so obviously the economic part isn't enough. The reason the catastrophic loss of manufacturing jobs is important is not so much the economic deprivation but the social consequences of that deprivation. The breakdown of community is really at the core here. When people lose job stability, when they work for $16 an hour and don't have health insurance, and nobody funds their public schools and nobody fixes their infrastructure, that has direct consequences into how the life of their community is led.

I know firsthand because my family comes from a working-class town in Maine that has suffered exactly this kind of deterioration. You pick up the local paper and the weekly police blotter is just DWIs and domestic violence. We've shattered these lives, and it isn't always economic. That's where I guess I would differ with Frank. It's really the destruction of the possibility of community, and of course economic deprivation goes a long way to doing that. But corporate America has done a pretty good job of destroying community too, which is why the largest growth areas are the exurbs, where people have a higher standard of living, but live fairly bleak and empty lives.

In the beginning of the book, you write briefly about covering wars in Latin America, the Middle East and the Balkans. How did that shape the way you understand these social forces in America? What similarities do you see?

When I covered the war in the Balkans, there was always the canard that this was a war about ancient ethnic hatreds that was taken from Robert Kaplan's "Balkan Ghosts." That was not a war about ancient ethnic hatreds. It was a war that was fueled primarily by the economic collapse of Yugoslavia. Milosevic and Tudman, and to a lesser extent Izetbegovic, would not have been possible in a stable Yugoslavia.

When I first covered Hamas in 1988, it was a very marginal organization with very little power or reach. I watched Hamas grow. Although I came later to the Balkans, I had a good understanding of how Milosevic built his Serbian nationalist movement. These radical movements share a lot of ideological traits with the Christian right, including that cult of masculinity, that cult of power, rampant nationalism fused with religious chauvinism. I find a lot of parallels.

People have a very hard time believing the status quo of their existence, or the world around them, can ever change. There's a kind of psychological inability to accept how fragile open societies are. When I was in Pristina, the capital of Kosovo, at the start of the war, I would meet with incredibly well-educated, multilingual Kosovar Albanian friends in the cafes. I would tell them that in the countryside there were armed groups of the Kosovo Liberation Army, who I'd met, and they would insist that the Kosovo Liberation Army didn't exist, that it was just a creation of the Serb police to justify repression.

You saw the same thing in the cafe society in Sarajevo on the eve of the war in Bosnia. Radovan Karadzic or even Milosevic were buffoonish figures to most Yugoslavs, and were therefore, especially among the educated elite, never taken seriously. There was a kind of blindness caused by their intellectual snobbery, their inability to understand what was happening. I think we have the same experience here. Those of us in New York, Boston, San Francisco or some of these urban pockets don't understand how radically changed our country is, don't understand the appeal of these buffoonish figures to tens of millions of Americans.

But don't you feel like the tipping point is still quite a way off? Speaking personally, when I've read about totalitarian movements, I've always imagined that I'd know enough to pack up and go. That would seem to be a very premature thing to do here.

Well, most people didn't pack up and go. The people who packed up and left were the exception, and most people thought they were crazy. My friends in Pristina had no idea what was going on in Kosovo until they were literally herded down to the train station and pushed into boxcars and shipped like cattle to Macedonia. And that's not because they weren't intelligent or perceptive. It was because, like all of us, they couldn't comprehend how fragile the world was around them, and how radically and quickly it could change. I think that's a human phenomenon.

Hitler was in power in 1933, but it took him until the late '30s to begin to consolidate his program. He never spoke about the Jews because he realized that raw anti-Semitism didn't play out with the German public. All he did was talk about family values and restoring the moral core of Germany. The Russian revolution took a decade to consolidate. It takes time to acculturate a society to a radical agenda, but that acculturation has clearly begun here, and I don't see people standing up and trying to stop them. The Democratic policy of trying to reach out to a movement that attacks whole segments of the society as worthy only of conversion or eradication is frightening.

Doesn't it make sense for the Democrats to reach out to the huge number of evangelicals who aren't necessarily part of the religious right, but who may be sympathetic to some of its rhetoric? Couldn't those people be up for grabs?

I don't think they are up for grabs because they have been ushered into a non-reality-based belief system. This isn't a matter of, "This is one viewpoint, here's another." This is a world of magic and signs and miracles and wonders, and [on the other side] is the world you hate, the liberal society that has shunted you aside and thrust you into despair. The rage that is directed at those who go after the movement is the rage of those who fear deeply being pushed back into this despair, from which many of the people I interviewed feel they barely escaped. A lot of people talked about suicide attempts or thoughts of suicide -- these people really reached horrific levels of desperation. And now they believe that Jesus has a plan for them and intervenes in their life every day to protect them, and they can't give that up.

So in a way, the movement really has helped them.

Well, in same way unemployed workers in Weimar Germany were helped by becoming brownshirts, yes. It gave them a sense of purpose. Look, you could always tell in a refugee camp in Gaza when one of these kids joined Hamas, because suddenly they were clean, their djelleba was white, they walked with a sense of purpose. It was a very similar kind of conversion experience. If you go back and read [Arthur] Koestler and other writers on the Communist Party, you find the same thing.

This is a question that I get all the time, and you've probably heard it too: Do you think Bush is a believer, or do you think he and his administration are just cynically manipulating their foot soldiers?

I think he's a believer, to the extent that this belief system empowers his own arrogant sense of privilege and intellectual shallowness. When you know right and wrong, when you've been mandated by God to lead, you don't have to ask hard questions, you don't have to listen to anyone else. I think that plays into the Bush character pretty well.

I think there are probably other aspects or tenets of this belief system that he finds distasteful and doesn't like. But in a real sense he fits the profile: a washout, not a very good family life -- apparently his mother was a horror show -- a drunk, a drug addict, coasted because of his daddy, reaches middle age, hasn't done anything with his life, finds Jesus. That fits a lot of people in the movement.

What do you think of the argument, exemplified by David Kuo's book, "Tempting Faith," that this administration has duped the Christian right and hasn't really given them much in exchange for their support?

It's given them a lot of money. It's given them a few hundred million dollars. I wouldn't call that nothing.

Kuo's argument is that Bush promised $8 billion for the faith-based initiative but that there was actually very little new funding. What's missing in what he says, I think, is that while there was little new money, there was a massive effort to shift money that was already appropriated from secular social services to evangelical groups. But if you believe, as Kuo apparently did, that compassionate conservatism really meant helping the poor, then Bush hasn't really done anything to further it.

Well, [Bush] never wanted to help the poor. That was just to sell us on a program -- he didn't have any intention of helping the poor.

Did you start out to research this book with the intellectual framework that comes from Hannah Arendt and Karl Popper in mind?

Yes. I studied a lot of Christian ethics, a lot of Reinhold Niebuhr, Karl Barth, that's how I was formed, so when I covered conflicts as a foreign correspondent, the peculiarity of my education made me look at those conflicts a little differently. I was always very wary of utopian movements because I had it pounded into me that utopianism is a dangerous phenomenon, of the left or the right. I was very critical of liberation theology because it essentially endorsed violence to create a Christian society. The way that I articulated that was really through writers like Popper and Arendt. I needed Karl Popper and Hannah Arendt to get a lot of the despotic movements that I was covering, to give myself a vocabulary by which to explain these movements to myself. Even when I teach journalism classes I tend to make them read "The Origins of Totalitarianism" because I think it's such an important book. I've read the book seven or eight times.

When did you see its relevance to the Christian right?

Because of my close coverage, or close connection with movements like Hamas or Milosevic, or even some of the despotic movements in Latin America like Efraín Ríos Montt in Guatemala, I'd already been conditioned to smell these people out. And then of course coming out the church and coming out of seminary, the combination was such that as soon as I came back from overseas, I had a sense of who these people were. There was a strange kind of confluence from my experience as a reporter and my academic background that came together and gave me a kind of sensitivity to the Christian right that maybe other people didn't have immediately. I don't know how much it's apparent, but it's an angry book.

That's very apparent.

Good. My father remains the most important influence on my life, and he was a Presbyterian minister, a devout Christian. I quote H. Richard Niebuhr saying, "Religion is a good thing for good people and a bad thing for bad people." I wouldn't describe myself as particularly pious but I certainly would describe myself as religious. And when I see how these people are manipulating the Christian religion for personal empowerment and wealth and for the destruction of the very values that I think are embodied in the teachings of Jesus Christ, I'm angry.


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Fee paid by Chinese workers might be 'fair market price'

The $10,000 Chinese workers allegedly paid to get their jobs at Maple Leaf Foods might after all be fair market price for the Chinese applicants.

Immigration lawyer Lawrence Wong said collecting "service fees" from workers seeking to work abroad "is something normal" in China. Even governmental departments collect fees from these workers, Wong adds.

In Canada, recruitment consultants can only collect fees from the employers. They are prohibited from charging the employees. However, Wong said, if a consultant is also providing a range of services such as helping the applicants to do the paper works necessary to get work permits or make immigration applications, then the consultant is not illegal to charge the applicants for the extra services it provides.

Wong said the market determines the price. "If a consultant is able to put someone in a high-pay, difficult-to-get job, then many people wouldn't mind paying for the $10,000."

In fact, going through all those ads put up by immigration/recruitment consultants in China, one could realize that $10,000 is relatively cheap.

For instance, a consultant who claims to be specialized in bringing chefs, truck drivers and nannies to Canada charges a service fee of RMB$150,000 (C$22,597). If the applicant pay by installments the fee would become RMB$180,000 (C$27,117).

The same ad also says workers successfully come to Canada will work in jobs that pay RMB$85-177 per hour (C$12-26). These are 8-hour work with overtime pay. The ad describes it's like heaven working in Canada where employers would buy for you work insurance and you can get free medicare after three months. Not only that, you can sponsor your whole family to Canada in two years.


See also:
Chinese workers found paying $10,000 to get jobs at Canadian meat firm
Consultant denies link to high fees paid by Chinese workers

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Canada's private school scam is worst in world, consul says

The Vancouver Sun reports today about China's warning against private institutions in Canada, which I've written last year (here).

China's education consul Xia Jianhui in Vancouver has explained that the "Warning No.6" was issued after complaints about five private colleges in Toronto that the consul general there received recently.

It's well known that many of these private schools were set up for the sole purpose of recruiting Chinese students. Xia said warnings against some private Vancouver schools were issued in the past. China must do something to protect its students.

While China has issued similar warnings against countries like New Zealand, education fraud in Canada is "most serious in Canada," Xia added.

There are also reports saying some Canadian private school operators have cancelled their plan to participate in a large education expo held in China in early spring after "Warning No.6" was issued.

Xia said some operators also call the consul general to express their concerns. However, he said it's not the job of the consul general to prevent any schools from going to this expo.

Tracy, 20, came from Shandong, China. She has been enrolled in a private college in Vancouver which issue graduation certificates from some US university.

Before she came to Canada, Tracy found a consultant from a newspaper ad who in turn recommended her to the current Vancouver private school she's attending. Almost all students recruited by this school are Chinese students. The school told her with about $10,000+ tuition fees, she could earn a undergraduate degree and and post-grad degree in just one year. She was told that these degrees would be granted by a US university, which is highly preferred in China.

It was not until recently that Tracy checked her courses and found that they are not recognized by BC because they are not registered with the provincial gov. She was very sad after learning about that. She said she's spent all the money her parents have saved for her for 10 years. She is now looking to transfer to BCIT.

The following article is from the Vancouver Sun:

Avoid Canadian schools, China warns students

China is warning students who want to study abroad to avoid private post-secondary schools in Canada because it says shady operators are ripping off hundreds of international students every year.

The warning was issued late last year by the Chinese Education Ministry, a spokesman for the Chinese consulate in Vancouver said Monday. Its impact will be felt mainly in B.C. and Ontario because those two provinces have the most private schools catering to international students.

"We want to protect our Chinese students from being cheated," education consul Jianhui Xia said in an interview. He acknowledged not all private institutions are disreputable, but said China is not able to sort the good from the bad.

Instead, it is urging students who want to study in Canada to choose public institutions. One private university in B.C. -- Trinity Western -- has been exempted from the warning because it meets the same standards as public universities, Xia said.

The consulate is in discussions with the B.C. government to determine if other private universities also deserve exemptions, he said, mentioning, in particular, University Canada West, a new private university in Victoria, and Quest University Canada, a private non-profit university to open in September near Squamish.

Jim Wright, registrar for the agency that regulates private career-training institutions, said the sector is concerned about China's warning but doesn't expect it will have a huge impact. That's because China has excluded private career-training institutions and language schools from its list of recommended institutions for several years. About 55,000 international students were admitted to Canada last year to attend public and private institutions. Although China is a large market, B.C. currently draws more foreign students from Korea and Japan.

The Private Career Training Institutions Agency (PCTIA) has a process for accrediting institutions, but less than half of the 526 schools registered with PCTIA - as required by law -- are accredited.

Advanced Education Minister Murray Coell was not available Monday for an interview, but his office e-mailed a statement saying B.C. wants to work with other provinces and Ottawa to improve consumer protection for international students.

"B.C. has an incredible reputation around the world for our quality post-secondary education system, both public and private, and we intend to work hard to keep that reputation," he said in the statement.

But critics say that reputation is in danger.

Rob Fleming, who speaks for the NDP on advanced education, said concerns about private post-secondary schools have been growing since the Liberals deregulated the sector in 2004. The Indian consulate has also pressed for action on behalf of hundreds of students who were hurt by unscrupulous operators, he said.

"This problem is widely known," Fleming added.

The most high-profile case in B.C. involved Kingston College, which despite repeated warnings, was found last year to have been promising degrees to international students that it had no right to deliver. After four Indian students laid complaints, an investigation was ordered and Kingston was told to close. The college is appealing.

Trevor Toone, principal of the private Columbia College in Vancouver, said China is quite rightly upset about Canada's inability to protect foreign students but he warned against a return to the regulatory structure that existed prior to 2004.

"We need some mechanism whereby the owners of illegitimate private schools can be pursued for fraud and refunds for students secured as well as the offending parties punished. [But] I do not have great confidence in the government's ability to set up accreditation agencies." he said.
See also:
Chinese students in Canada stats
King dethroned
Private university under probe
Premier loses Chinese advisor

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Administrative job salaries to rise by 4-10% in 2007: survey

Salaries for administrative professionals to rise in 2007

Base compensation for administrative professionals across Canada is expected to rise an average of 4.5% in 2007, according to the recently-released OfficeTeam 2007 Salary Guide. This reflects continued demand for highly skilled office support and administrative employees.

OfficeTeam is a staffing service company specializing in highly skilled administrative professionals. The 2007 Salary Guide is based on an analysis of the thousands of job placements managed by the company's North American offices.

"In order to attract and retain talented professionals, many companies are enhancing their compensation packages," said Lara Dodo, vice-president with OfficeTeam.

"Administrative professionals who posses industry experience and advanced technical abilities are in especially high demand."

Skills and Attributes Sought

Employers will seek administrative professionals with demonstrated industry experience and company knowledge who can make immediate contributions to the organization. In addition to superior technical skills, hiring managers will also look for candidates who show initiative and a commitment to continuing education, and who can be flexible to meet shifting and expanding work responsibilities.

Industry Trends

Skilled administrative professionals are expected to be in demand in several industries, including natural resources, engineering and financial services. Since compensation varies by geographic region, the Salary Guide provides regional variance data to help hiring managers adjust starting salaries for specific markets.

Other key findings include:

  • Office assistants can expect starting salaries to rise an average of 8.8%, to the range of $25,250 to $30,250.
  • Senior office/facilities managers will see average starting salaries of $41,500 to $55,500, a 7.8% increase over this year.
  • Mail assistants will see starting salaries increase 7.6%, to the range of $24,250 to $28,750 per year.
  • Senior executive assistants can expect base compensation in the range of $44,000 to $56,750, an increase of 7.2% over 2006.
  • Logistics coordinators will see starting salaries increase 5.7%, to the range of $33,000 to $41,750 per year.
  • Average starting salaries for word processors will increase 5.6%, bringing base compensation to the range of $27,500 to $33,500 annually.
  • Base compensation for senior customer service/call center representatives will increase 4.9%, with starting salaries in the range of $33,750 to $41,750.
The Importance of Certification

Certification and specialization can further increase base compensation, as companies continue to seek job candidates with specific expertise.

According to OfficeTeam research, employers are willing to pay an average of 7% more for designations such as certified administrative professional and certified professional secretary, and an average of 10% more for Microsoft Office Specialist Certification. Bilingual applicants can command starting salaries as much as 13% higher than non-bilingual candidates.

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China's auto firms eyeing US, Canada markets

China's auto firms hit U.S.

Changfeng Group Co. opened its first exhibit at the North American International Auto Show yesterday with high hopes of soon entering the United States, the world's richest market, and Canada.

"We will try to do this in about two years," Yia Jian Min, Changfeng's corporate planning director, said through an interpreter. "If we want to get in here, we will have to meet a number of environmental and safety standards and establish a close relationship with dealers that already have experience."

Changfeng follows Geely Automotive Co., which landed in a tiny display off the main lobby of the auto show last year. Without the glitz and hype of the main show, Geely became the first auto maker to unveil a Chinese car in the U.S.

This year, Changsha-based Changfeng showed off two Liebao sport utility vehicles and two Fiebao pickup trucks the company has already exported to nine countries, including Russia and South America.

The company has been able to progress in technology and production in the last 10 years through a joint venture with Japanese auto giant Mitsubishi.

Industry watchers say some Chinese auto makers are overly optimistic about making a dent in the North American market. They will need to build strong distribution networks and improve brand recognition while trying to overcome quality and styling concerns.

Bill Pochiluk, president of research firm Automotive Compass, said Changfeng's auto designs and body structures are five to 10 years behind those of other world auto makers.

He said Chinese auto makers need foreign partners for guidance in design, production techniques, marketing and distribution overseas. Failing that, the makers face huge challenges in breaking into the North American market.

Doug Fox, vice-president of the Detroit Auto Dealers Association, said Chinese companies that form alliances with international vehicle makers will be the first to gain a beachhead in North America.

"Whole new start-ups will take four to six years and longer."

One Chinese auto maker, Chery Automobile, reached a deal last month to produce small cars for sale as DaimlerChrysler vehicles in North America. DaimlerChrysler indicated it could not make money producing small cars in North America, so the giant found a partner in China, where labour costs are much lower.

"It gives Chery a big advantage over the others in China," Pochiluk said.

Changfeng, the symbol for which is a cheetah, is the biggest producer of sport utility vehicles in China, but output of sport utes and small pickup trucks totalled fewer than 100,000 last year. That's less than half of the normal output of North American assembly operations.

In a promotional film at the auto show, the company said it will continue "to leap forward" and hit annual production of almost 300,000 vehicles by 2010.

"We will pursue greatness," the film's narrator added. "It is in the Chinese corporate soul."

About half a dozen other Chinese auto makers have contacted the auto show's organizers about participating at the annual Detroit auto fest, one of the biggest industry events in the world.

"I think we can expect to maybe see two more next year from China, and perhaps someone from India, too," said Fox, whose association organizes the auto show.

Fox noted some other Chinese auto makers are starting to develop relations with marketing firms in the U.S. after realizing they are dealing with a different culture here.

Meanwhile, slumping General Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co. reported their sales in China, with its economic boom, jumped last year. GM's volumes shot up 32 per cent to 876,747 vehicles. Ford's business, including brands like Volvo, soared 87 per cent to 166,722.

Foreign auto makers are competing aggressively in China, the world's hottest market. The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers forecasts sales will rise another 15 per cent to about 8 million this year. Foreign auto makers are also spending billions to expand production in China.

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Top 200 world universities

Glad to see UBC make it to #50... :)

The QS Ranking:

Rank School Name Country
1 Harvard University United States
2 University of Cambridge United Kingdom
3 University of Oxford United Kingdom
4= Massachusetts Institute of Technology United States
4= Yale University United States
6 Stanford University United States
7 California Institute of Technology United States
8 University of California, Berkeley United States
9 Imperial College London United Kingdom
10 Princeton University United States
11 University of Chicago United States
12 Columbia University United States
13 Duke University United States
14 Peking University China
15 Cornell University United States
16 Australian National University Australia
17 London School of Economics and Political... United Kingdom
18 Ecole Normale Supérieure France
19= University of Tokyo Japan
19= National University of Singapore Singapore
21 McGill University Canada
22 University of Melbourne Australia
23 Johns Hopkins University United States
24 ETH Zurich Switzerland
25 University College London (UCL) United Kingdom
26 University of Pennsylvania United States
27 University of Toronto Canada
28 Tsing Hua University China
29= University of Michigan United States
29= Kyoto University Japan
31 University of California, Los Angeles United States
32 University of Texas at Austin United States
33= University of Edinburgh United Kingdom
33= University of Hong Kong Hong Kong
35= University of Sydney Australia
35= Carnegie Mellon University United States
37 École Polytechnique France
38 Monash University Australia
39 University of Geneva Switzerland
40 University of Manchester United Kingdom
41 University of New South Wales Australia
42 Northwestern University United States
43 New York University United States
44 University of California, San Diego United States
45 University of Queensland Australia
46= University of Auckland New Zealand
46= King's College London United Kingdom
48= Washington University in St. Louis United States
48= University of Rochester United States
50= Chinese University of Hong Kong Hong Kong
50= University of British Colombia Canada
52 Sciences Po Paris France
53 Vanderbilt University United States
54= Brown University United States
54= University of Copenhagen Denmark
56 Emory University United States
57 Indian Institute of Technology India
58= Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg Germany
58= Hong Kong University of Science & Techno... Hong Kong
60 Case Western Reserve University United States
61= Nanyang Technological University Singapore
61= Dartmouth College United States
63 Seoul National University South Korea
64= University of Bristol United Kingdom
64= Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne... Switzerland
66 Boston University United States
67 Eindhoven University of Technology Netherlands
68 Indian Institute of Management India
69 University of Amsterdam Netherlands
70= School of Oriental and African Studies United Kingdom
70= Osaka University Japan
72 Ecole Normale Supérieure Lyon France
73 University of Warwick United Kingdom
74 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Mexico
75 University of Basel Switzerland
76 Catholic University of Louvain Belgium
77 University of Illinois United States
78 University of Dublin, Trinity College Ireland
79= University of Otago New Zealand
79= University of Wisconsin United States
81 University of Glasgow United Kingdom
82= Macquarie University Australia
82= Technische Universität München Germany
84 University of Washington United States
85 University of Nottingham United Kingdom
86 Delft University of Technology Netherlands
87 University of Vienna Austria
88 University of Pittsburgh United States
89 University of Lausanne Switzerland
90= University of Birmingham United Kingdom
90= Leiden University Netherlands
92 Erasmus University Rotterdam Netherlands
93= Lomonosov Moscow State University Russia
93= Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie France
95 Utrecht University Netherlands
96 Catholic University of Leuven Belgium
97 Wageningen University Netherlands
98 Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München Germany
99= Queen Mary, University of London United Kingdom
99= Pennsylvania State University United States
101 University of Southern California United States
102= University of Sheffield United Kingdom
102= Georgetown University United States
102= Rice University United States
105= University of Adelaide Australia
105= Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin Germany
105= University of Sussex United Kingdom
108 National Taiwan University Taiwan
109= University of Zurich Switzerland
109= University of St Andrews United Kingdom
111= University of Maryland United States
111= University of Western Australia Australia
111= Wake Forest University United States
111= Uppsala University Sweden
115 University of Twente Netherlands
116= Fudan University China
116= University of Helsinki Finland
118 Tokyo Institute of Technology Japan
119 Hebrew University of Jerusalem Israel
120 Keio University Japan
121 University of Leeds United Kingdom
122 Lund University Sweden
123 University of North Carolina United States
124= University of Massachusetts, Amherst United States
124= University of York United Kingdom
126 University of Aarhus Denmark
127 Purdue University United States
128= Kyushu University Japan
128= Nagoya University Japan
130= University of Virginia United States
130= Tufts University United States
132 Durham University United Kingdom
133= University of Newcastle upon Tyne United Kingdom
133= University of Alberta Canada
133= Hokkaido University Japan
133= Vrije University Brussels Belgium
137 Radboud Universiteit Nijmegen Netherlands
138 Vienna University of Technology Austria
139 University of Liverpool United Kingdom
140 Cranfield University United Kingdom
141= University of California, Santa Barbara United States
141= University of Southampton United Kingdom
141= University of Ghent Belgium
141= Cardiff University United Kingdom
145 Georgia Institute of Technology United States
146 RMIT University Australia
147= Tel Aviv University Israel
147= Chalmers University of Technology Sweden
149 Freie Universität Berlin Germany
150= Texas A&M University United States
150= Korea University South Korea
152 University of Notre Dame United States
153 University of Bath United Kingdom
154 City University of Hong Kong Hong Kong
155 McMaster University Canada
156= Universität Göttingen Germany
156= Curtin University of Technology Australia
158= Universität Ulm Germany
158= Waseda University Japan
158= Technion - Israel Institute of Technolog... Israel
161= Université Louis Pasteur - Strasbourg I France
161= Chulalongkorn University Thailand
163 Michigan State University United States
164 Saint-Petersburg State University Russia
165= State University of New York at Stony Br... United States
165= Université libre de Bruxelles Belgium
165= University of Science and Technology of ... China
168= George Washington University United States
168= Tohoku University Japan
170= Universität Tübingen Germany
170= University of California, Davis United States
172= University of Maastricht Netherlands
172= Yeshiva University United States
172= Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochsc... Germany
172= Royal Institute of Technology Sweden
176 Queen's University Canada
177 University of Oslo Norway
178 University of Bern Switzerland
179 Shanghai Jiao Tong University China
180 nanjing University China
181= Kobe University Japan
181= University of Montreal Canada
183= Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Netherlands
183= Jawaharlal Nehru University India
185 Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Malaysia
186 University of Innsbruck Austria
187= University of Minnesota United States
187= Brandeis University United States
187= Universität Frankfurt am Main Germany
190= University of Reading United Kingdom
190= University of Barcelona Spain
192= Queensland University of Technology Australia
192= University of Malaya Malaysia
194 Technical University of Denmark Denmark
195 University of Aberdeen United Kingdom
196 University of Wollongong Australia
197 Università degli Studi di Roma - La Sapi... Italy
198= University of California, Irvine United States
198= Korea Advanced Institute of Science & Te... South Korea
200 Universite Paris-Sorbonne (Paris IV) France

Link for #201-520

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Consultant denies link to high fees paid by Chinese workers

Consultant surprised to hear Chinese workers paid $10,000 for Manitoba jobs

WINNIPEG (CP) - An immigration consultant whose company recruited 61 Chinese workers for Maple Leaf Foods' Manitoba pork plant says she's baffled by reports some of the employees paid $10,000 each to get the jobs.

Sophia Cummings said Monday she was paid directly by Maple Leaf Foods for her services and did not take any money from the workers.

Cummings, who heads S. Cummings and Associates in Vancouver, declined to answer specific questions about her work and fee structure.

"All I can say is this is not true," said Cummings, who returned home Sunday from vacation in the United Kingdom to learn about the payments in a Globe and Mail story.

"But I want to be cautious because I really care about these Chinese employees."

The Globe and Mail report said Maple Leaf has halted its program to import workers from China after learning about the hefty payments used to help staff its plant in Brandon, Man.

Company officials could not be reached for comment.

However, a spokeswoman told the Globe and Mail that while there are no allegations of criminal wrongdoing, the company has terminated its business relationship with Cummings.

The company first learned of the fees - used in part for training in meat-cutting and some English-language instruction in China - last fall when some workers asked to be moved into cheaper apartments.

Further inquiries revealed many workers are now struggling to pay debts related to the fee, which is equivalent to about four times the average annual salary in China.

Maple Leaf Foods, which had received federal approval for its recruitment under the Department of Human Resources and Social Development's temporary foreign workers program, reported the situation to the government last month.

George Rohulych, the department's manager of employment programs, said interviews with several Chinese employees suggested the $10,000 fees were paid to the Shan Dong Han Sen International Economic and Trade Company, a Chinese-based placement company that brokered the deal with the workers on behalf of Cummings' company in Vancouver.

Once a Canadian company has received permission to recruit foreign workers, the government has no further involvement in how employees are wooed, as long as companies don't try to recoup their costs from the new hires.

"It's up to the employer to decide how they want to conduct their own recruitment process," said Rohulych.

"The message we try to get out to employers and workers is they don't need to use the services of a third party in order to find work in Canada."

It's not uncommon for immigration consultants to charge fees related to everything from language training to job accreditation or other aspects of integration into Canadian society.

But the head of the union representing the Maple Leaf workers in Manitoba says the $10,000 bill for the Chinese workers crossed the line.

"It really is people being taken advantage of," said Robert Ziegler, president of the United Food and Commercial Workers Union.

"It's totally legal to charge them, but what they were charged versus what they got is the problem. The training they got shouldn't have cost anywhere near what it did."

Ziegler said he's pleased with the swift action taken by the company.

But he said the federal and provincial governments need to do more to ensure inappropriate fees aren't charged, while employers need to keep their workers focused on their job, not paying off debt.

"We want to make sure this never happens again to anyone. It's wrong."

In the construction industry, where labour shortages are being felt across the country, workers are being recruited from countries across Europe as well as Mexico, Central America, China, India and the Philippines.

In British Columbia alone, it's estimated 35,000 workers will be needed in the next several years to replace retiring workers and keep up with demand.

Keith Sashaw, president of the Vancouver Regional Construction Association, said his organization is concerned that the current recruitment system is open to abuse.

Companies and workers are left to weigh the pros and cons of fast-tracked immigration status against the fees some companies charge.

He has heard of workers paying as much as $10,000 for a job, while many others pay a few thousand dollars.

Sashaw urges his members to deal directly with a prospective employee whenever possible, but to use due diligence if they must use consultants to ensure they are reputable.

"Obviously when you're looking at a need for 35,000 people, we are going to have to be looking at broader applications or people who have access to larger groups of people who are interested in coming to Canada," said Sashaw.


See also:
Chinese workers found paying $10,000 to get jobs at Canadian meat firm


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Canada courts Chinese investment in Pacific Gateway initiatives

From CanWest News Service:
Peter O'Neil

OTTAWA -The Conservative government, despite expressing recent concerns about China's human rights record and about foreign investment in Canada by state-controlled firms, is courting China as a possible major investor in B.C.'s Pacific Gateway infrastructure initiative, the Vancouver Sun has learned.

There is "strong Chinese interest in promoting significant investment in Canada, including in energy and Pacific Gateway," Rob Wright, Canada's ambassador to China, declared in a presentation to senior federal officials earlier this year that was obtained under the Access to Information Act.

"We welcome Chinese investors' participation" in the multibillion-dollar plan by the B.C. and federal governments to expand road, rail and port facilities on the West Coast to improve Canada's access to the booming Chinese and Indian economies, Wright stated in another briefing note obtained by the Vancouver Sun.

China is Canada's second-largest trading partner after the U.S., with a combined C$36.6 billion ($31 billion) of trade in 2005. Canada imported C$22.4 billion more Chinese goods than it exported to the country during the year.

The Asia-Pacific Gateway and Corridor Initiative involves planning by the B.C. and federal governments to improve the transportation infrastructure that funnels goods to and from Canada's West Coast. It aims to strengthen Canada's international trade with Asia as well as B.C.'s position as point of entry and departure for goods traded between Asia and North America.

International Trade Minister David Emerson will be in China from Jan. 15 to 19, attending meetings in Beijing, Hong Kong and Shanghai.

Emerson is bringing along business leaders from Canada's "science and tech" sectors as well as executives from the transportation sector who want to advance B.C.'s case as Asia's Pacific Gateway to North American markets, Emerson spokeswoman Jennifer Chiu said in an e-mail Monday.

Chiu didn't reply to specific questions on what aspects of the Gateway initiative would be open to Chinese investment.

"Given the anticipated growth in demand for transportation services and the Asia-Pacific Gateway and Corridor, the government is open to continued and expanded investment from all sources, including foreign investors," she wrote in a prepared statement.

Wright, in a briefing note prepared for a June 12, 2006, meeting between senior Canadian and Chinese officials in Beijing, mentions that Pacific Gateway is a federal government priority. The B.C. government has already committed $3 billion for port, railway and highway infrastructure, while Ottawa has promised $591 million over eight years.

Emerson, under pressure from B.C. Premier Gordon Campbell to dramatically increase Ottawa's contribution, has argued in favour of greater private-sector investment in gateway initiatives.

However, he has never publicly mentioned an interest in investment by China's state-controlled corporations.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced in November that Canada would closely monitor investments by foreign state-owned firms that don't necessarily operate based on market principles.

"It is important that we protect Canada and we protect Canada's assets in certain circumstances where foreign state-controlled interests might be involved," Flaherty told the House of Commons.

While Flaherty didn't specifically identify China, critics said the position appeared directed at that country because major state-owned Chinese firms are already trying to buy up energy-producing foreign assets.

The U.S. Congress recently thwarted an attempt by China National Offshore Oil Corp. to buy the U.S. energy giant Unocal Corp.

Natural Resources Minister Gary Lunn, after a recent visit to China, said Canada is interested in Chinese investments in the energy sector as long as the Chinese take minority interests in Canadian-controlled assets.


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News site recruits sex trade workers to cover Pickton trial

Vancouver – Orato.com, the news Web site featuring first person, citizen journalism, will send two former sex trade workers to cover the trial of alleged serial killer Robert Pickton when it begins here Jan. 22.

Responding to an online request from Orato.com, Trisha Baptie, 33, and Pauline VanKoll, 42, both of greater Vancouver, have come forward to cover the trial as it unfolds over a period that is expected to last a year. Both women spent a number of years as sex trade workers on Vancouver’s streets, and both knew some of the victims in the case. Both are now off the streets, successfully working on putting their lives back together.

The two are veterans of "The Stroll", the downtown streets where more than 60 sex trade workers disappeared, many of them between 1997 and 2001. Eventually, DNA evidence of at least 26 of the missing women was found on Pickton’s farm near Vancouver. Pickton is charged with the murders of six of the women and will likely face charges of 20 more after the first trial is complete. Pickton has entered a plea of not guilty and will be tried by jury.

"Everyone knew you went missing if you went to the farm. No one cared. We were disposable," says Trisha. "The police’s hands were tied at first, but after 20 years, it’s just negligence."

Pauline, an aboriginal woman who was adopted by a white family, explains how she initially ended up on the stroll. "My mom and I used to go to Woodward’s for $1.49 Days. I used to see other natives there on Hastings Street and I sort of thought, ‘Well, maybe this is where I’m from,’ and I started hanging out down there."

Both Trisha and Pauline are aware that their pasts – a legacy of life on the streets that includes multiple addictions, criminal records and an intimate association with danger and violence – could be subject to renewed and intense scrutiny, but both insist they have nothing to hide, and see the assignment as an opportunity to give a voice to the missing and victimized women so they are remembered and honored as human beings.

Pauline says it was hard for the police to investigate disappearances because the women, admittedly, had transient lifestyles. "Everyone would come and go. Someone would score big and you wouldn’t see them for a couple days." Pauline says she tried to help some of the women on The Stroll, including one of Pickton’s alleged victims, by taking them into her home.

To editor in chief Paul Sullivan, this assignment demonstrates how Orato.com tries to approach every major story it seeks to cover – signing up people who are directly involved in events and featuring their eyewitness, first person accounts. "There are at least 300 other journalists who have been accredited to cover this trial. We expect they’ll cover every angle with great diligence and objectivity. Orato is looking for a little subjectivity – what it looks like to real people named Trisha and Pauline, who understand what it is to live and survive in such marginalized circumstances that more than 60 of your comrades and competitors can simply disappear before anyone notices."

The two correspondents will serve as Orato interns throughout the coverage of the trial, under the editorial guidance of editor Sullivan and senior editor Heather Wallace. Their first stories will be published on Orato’s home page in the week leading up to the trial.


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China plans 'ping pong diplomacy' with Japan

China's state-owned China Daily carries an opinion piece today, reporting China is re-igniting its famous "ping pong diplomacy" - this time, to deal with Japan.

Time for ping-pong diplomacy again

Ping-pong diplomacy broke the ice in the Sino-US relationship during the early 1970s and now the national sport could help warm the thawing ties between China and Japan.

To celebrate the 35th anniversary of the establishment of Sino-Japanese diplomatic ties, plans are afoot to organize ping-pong games for players from more than 200 sister cities in the two countries, said Chen Haosu, president of the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries (CPAFFC).

"The games will be more about friendship than competition," Chen, who has headed the association in charge of people-to-people diplomacy since 2000, told China Daily recently.

The last months of 2006 saw a turning point in the bilateral relationship, Chen said, citing two breakthroughs Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visited China in October soon after he took office, the first summit between the countries in five years; and a Chinese leader is expected to visit Japan early this year.

"The ties are on the right track, but it does not mean it is a smooth ride. They could still be bumped off the track if not well handled," he said, referring to Japan's distortion of history and its leaders' visits to Yasukuni Shrine, where 14 notorious war criminals are honored.

Even on those two fronts, there has been progress, Chen pointed out.

During Abe's October visit, he and President Hu Jintao agreed on the need for joint history studies.

Twenty academics, 10 from each side, met for two days in Beijing last month in the first round of what is expected to be twice-yearly discussions that aim to conclude with a report in 2008.

Abe visited a Shinto shrine at the weekend customary in the New Year but avoided the Yasukuni Shrine in what domestic media said was an effort to please conservative supporters without raising hackles abroad.

Meetings between leaders have to be reinforced by people-to-people contacts, which are the best way to rid mutual suspicion and keep the diplomatic momentum moving forward, Chen added.

On June 25 last year, the CPAFFC, along with its Japanese counterpart, marked the 60th anniversary of the repatriation of 1.05 million Japanese, most of them civilians, from Huludao in Liaoning, Northeast China.

They were left behind when the Japanese invaders surrendered and retreated in 1945; and were sent home between 1946 and 1948, when China was still in a state of civil war.

Chen emphasized the importance of soft power in exchanges with other countries.

It is not about GDP (gross domestic product), it is about the attraction of your culture and the image you leave in the hearts of foreigners, said Chen, noting that China has always valued cultural exchanges with other nations.

"Every culture should be treated equally, and with respect," Chen said.

Source: China Daily
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Japanese defense agency formally upgraded into ministry

The Japanese Defense Agency was formally upgraded to a full ministry on Tuesday morning with a ceremony attended by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and new Defense Minister Fumio Kyuma.

The name signs at the main gate of the Defense Agency headquarters in central Tokyo were replaced shortly before the ceremony with new name board written by Kyuma.

The bill raised by the Japanese government to upgrade the Defense Agency into a ministry cleared the Lower House plenary session in late November and passed the Upper House in mid- December.

Under the legislation, the newly-launched defense ministry will be headed by a "minister," instead of a director general whose post is held by a state minister. Peacekeeping, disaster relief and other international cooperation operations will be upgraded into the Self-Defense Forces' essential duties from their current subordinate positions.

Upgraded power of the administrative chief will include calling for a Cabinet meeting and requesting budgets directly to the Finance Ministry.

Functions of the Defense Facilities Administration Agency, which will be scrapped in fiscal 2007 starting next March, will be integrated into the upcoming "Defense Ministry."

Japanese government senior officials said it is necessary for the Defense Agency to be upgraded into a ministry in order to befit the role of defending the country and contributing to world peace in this new era.

However, some critics said the upgrade may imply a change of the defense-only policy to a more internationally-active one.

The Defense Agency was established in 1954 and has been restricted within Japan's war-renouncing pacifist Constitution. Its main tasks have been defense of the nation and disaster relief at home. As an affiliate of the Cabinet Office, the agency was under the direct control of the prime minister.

Japanese analysts said that the voice for upgrading the Defense Agency has never calmed down ever since its establishment, but the idea hasn't been brought into reality for so long because Japan's militaristic history which led the country itself into being devastated haunted among the public.

Source: Xinhua
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World's commercial property markets promising in 2007, report predicts

NAI Global Issues 21st Annual Global Market Report

PROPERTY MARKETS STRENGTHENED IN 2006; GEO-POLITICAL RISK TEMPERS POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR 2007

NAI Global Issues 21st Annual Global Market Report; Forecast For Over 200 Commercial Property Markets Worldwide


Commercial property markets across the globe continued their steady climb in 2006, with 2007 promising continued growth, according to the 21st annual Global Market Report issued today by NAI Global, the world’s largest network of independently owned commercial real estate brokerage firms. However, the 2007 Global Market Report concludes growth could be hurt by increased geo-political concerns in major markets worldwide.

"Commercial real estate fundamentals are strong in most major markets around the world," stated NAI Global President & Chief Operating Officer Jeffrey M. Finn. "In some of the fastest growing markets of recent years, the biggest issues we’re seeing are political in nature. From efforts to rein in the hot economy in China, to new governments in Chile, Peru, Ecuador and Peru in Latin America, to lingering political favoritism in the European Union, market risk pales in comparison to political risk factors for several geographies. More than ever, it’s imperative for companies to find a local partner on the ground that has the market experience needed to navigate through these challenges."

The 2007 Global Market Report features data and analysis on office, industrial and retail market performance in 2006 for over 200 locations worldwide. Narrative reports and statistical charts provide market highlights, trends, demographic and business profiles, rental rates, vacancy rates, and land prices. All of the market information included in the report is available online at www.naiglobal.com.

"Our annual Global Market Report is a unique resource that combines the strength of our network—deep local market knowledge and broad geographic coverage--and the keen insight of our Chief Economist, Dr. Peter Linneman," stated Finn. Linneman is Professor of Real Estate at The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, and principal in Linneman Associates, a Philadelphia, Pennsylvania-based research consultancy. "The 21st edition is our most comprehensive to date and reflects the scale our network has achieved. Our reports provide individual market analysis from our member firms–local professionals with a deep understanding of market conditions and the issues that will impact them."


Select U.S. Markets Highlights:
In 2006, U.S. markets reported generally tightening vacancies, particularly in downtown areas. The elimination of the remnants of the dot-com bust and other factors caused a decline in Class A downtown office vacancies rates to 9.85% in 2006 from 11.91% a year earlier. This led to slightly upward trending rental rates for the sub-sector, from $34.37 per square foot in 2005 to $36.02 in 2006. While vacancy rates show signs of increasing, this seems to be caused by new supply entering the market. The outlook for 2007 calls for steady growth as excess liquidity holds investment yields relatively low and developers respond cautiously with additional office development projects.

A few select regional market findings from the report include the following:
Atlanta: Office demand gained momentum in 2006, continuing a two-year trend. Because of its transportation options and low construction and operating costs, Atlanta continues to attract national and international companies of all sizes.

Boston: A dearth of retail-zoned land has led to skyrocketing lease rates and vacancy rates as low as 5%. In areas like Newbury Street, rents have soared as high as $140 per square foot, almost $100 higher than a decade ago.

Chicago: An improving local economy has the office market inching toward recovery. Retail markets continued to improve. Claire’s Stores, Motorola and Nokia are among the corporations to open flagship stores in the Chicago area in recent months.

Dallas: Dallas continued to thrive in 2006, largely because of its central location and transportation hub. Available land, limited barriers to entry and a competitive development market have helped to keep lease rates competitive. As a result, Dallas remains a favorite spot for corporate headquarters relocations. Forecasted employment gains support an optimistic outlook for 2007.

Los Angeles: Sales prices have reached new highs for all property types and cap rates are at record lows in the face of intense competition. The local economy remains strong and continues to drive demand in the Southland. Market tightness is expected to persist through spring of 2007.

New Orleans: Progress toward recovery over the past 12 months has far exceeded expectations. Industrial space remains tight throughout the area, while the downtown office market has displayed surprising resilience. An enormous rebuilding task lies ahead, but as the business climate continues to settle, companies will be better equipped to assess their real estate requirements.

New York: Steady demand from the banking and legal industries have combined with declining supply to push office vacancies below 6% for the first time in five years. Despite rising rental rates, New York remains inexpensive compared to London and Hong Kong, but the gap continues to close. Overall demand remained highest in Midtown, where asking rents have climbed to an average of over $52 per square foot.

Phoenix: Phoenix continues to be one of the strongest new housing markets in the nation. The local economy benefits from the presence of high-tech sectors such as aerospace and semiconductors, and retail continues to expand along with population.

Washington, D.C.: Commencement of construction on a new stadium for the Washington Nationals baseball team combined with ongoing redevelopment projects have spurred demand in the Southeast submarket. This once-neglected neighborhood is attracting developers from across the country. Overall demand for commercial real estate in D.C. during 2006 was steady, with vacancy rates falling slightly from 7.9% in 2005 to 7.6% in 2006.

Select Global Market Highlights
A few select global findings from the report include the following:

Asia: China and India continue to experience exceptional growth. With two of the largest populations and fastest growing economies, both countries are starting to enact WTO policies that will open their economies to foreign trade and business. However, governmental efforts to cool the hot economy in China are beginning to impact real estate markets. Meanwhile, manufacturing companies looking to reduce reliance on Chinese production are beginning to employ a "China plus one" strategy, shifting low-cost manufacturing to other venues, including Vietnam.

Europe: European investment markets remain strong, with focus on Germany both internationally and domestically in response to a surprisingly strong local economy, though the office market is lukewarm. In Russia, foreign investment is expected to increase as the office market experiences strong growth and record levels of pre-leasing. The housing market in Spain has driven prices up across all property sectors. Tax incentives for home ownership, restricted land supply and booming foreign demand have all contributed to an overheated market.

Latin America: Rapid changes are taking place in South America. New governments in Ecuador and Chile will please President Chavez of Venezuela, but bode poorly for their economies. Decreasing risk levels and increased liquidity create a brighter outlook for the Brazilian market. In Sao Paulo, where premium area costs have leveled, and risk levels decreased, the outlook is particularly positive.

Mexico is emerging as a retirement spot for U.S. citizens. Mexico currently boasts the largest retirement community of English-speaking residents outside of the U.S. and Canada. As it improves infrastructure and basic services in coastal areas, Mexico should see increased activity as the Baby Boomers reach retirement age.

Canada: "Petro-nomics" are shifting economic power west to Calgary and Edmonton as Canada aims to become the world’s next energy super power. Canadian Petroleum stores are among the largest in the world and the country also has significant hydro power resources. Canada is already the largest external supplier of oil to the United States.

United States: Steady, stable growth is predicted as excess liquidity will continue to hold investment yields relatively low. There is a continued trend toward adaptive reuse of older industrial properties for retail and residential. Long dormant downtown areas in secondary and tertiary markets are being bolstered by mixed use development.

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Rogers funds first ever Canadian and Chinese TV co-production

As part of its ongoing commitment to the independent production of ethnic/third language programming, Rogers OMNI Television today confirmed its funding of Once Upon a Time in Toronto, a Mandarin-language drama series and first-ever co-production between Canadian and Chinese companies.

The historic partnership between Toronto-based Goldspin and China's Western Movie Group was announced recently in Beijing; production will be local, to start this February.

"We are proud to fund Once Upon a Time in Toronto, a breakthrough of global proportions for cultural television," expressed Leslie Sole, CEO Television for Rogers Media. "Audiences around the world will ultimately benefit from all the hard work and time spent piecing together this project, which is a delightful raison d'etre."

When Rogers OMNI.2 launches Once upon a time in Toronto this fall, Mandarin speaking viewers will be treated to a generous profile; 20, one hour episodes follow the ups and downs, successes and failures of a cross section of the Chinese immigrant families living in Toronto.

"We are extremely excited to be working with Western Movie Group on this landmark international collaboration," commented Irene Chu, Founder of Goldspin and Executive Producer of the series. "Once upon a time in Toronto will bring together Canadian and Chinese talents and reach across both to entertain all."

Once upon a Time in Toronto was exclusively funded through OMNI's Independent Producers Initiative, a $32.5 million independent production fund that to date has supported over 200 new documentary programmes. Interested producers can access funding criteria here.

See also:

10 TV licenses approved for Chinese programming from China, Hong Kong
James Ho wins Chinese TV licenses
New Chinese TV channels approved

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Tories want to run Chinese canadiates in ethnic vote-rich Toronto ridings











(captions, left to right: Dr Benson Lau, Chungshen Leung, StevenYu.)


Several long-time Chinese Conservative members are eyeing to run in four Chinese-vote-rich ridings in Toronto, aiming to de-seat Liberal MPs who have dominated the heart of Greater Toronto for a long while.

These well-known names of Chinese Canadian Tory members include Dr. Benson Lau (劉秉純), Steven Yu (余振興), and Chungsen Leung (梁中心). The four ridings are:

Scarborough-Agincourt
Since 1988 - LIB
Total visible minority population 76,195
Chinese 41,135 (53.98%)

Markham-Unionville
2004 - LIB
Total visible minority population 79,080
Chinese 41,795 (52.85%)

Willowdale
1988, 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004 - LIB
Total visible minority population 54,575
Chinese 30,800 (56.4%)

Oak Ridges-Markham
2004 - LIB
Total visible minority population 30,285
Chinese 16,910 (55.8%)

Secretary-general of the Chinese Canadian Conservative Committee and co-hair of the Toronto committee Yat San Wen (溫一山, trans) said a federal election is "highly possible" after the budget. He said the Conservative party has agreed in principle that Chinese Canadian candidates will be picked in these four Chinese-vote-rich ridings, hoping the strategy could bring a breakthrough in urban Toronto area the Tories desperately need.

"The party wants to encourage women with minority backgrounds to run. For such, we are recruiting Chinese women candidates who can speak good English, articulate and good at debate," Wen said.

Chungshen Leung will be submitting his candidacy form in the next few days. He hopes to represent the Tories in Willowdale. Leung joined the party in 1982 and had run in the 2000 election in Willowdale. He lost to the popular Jim Peterson.

Leung said he has lived in Willowdale for more than 20 years and he is very familiar with issues of the area. Secondly, the Chinese population of Willowdale matches that of Richmond Hill. He has an advantage on this because he can speak a few Chinese dialects including Cantonese, Mandarin and Taishanese.

Leung said while the total Chinese Canadian population has past the 1 milion mark but Chinese political representation remains limited.

"The Chinese cannot see themselves as 'Hua Qiao' (華僑) or 'overseas Chinese' forever. They must be encouraged to be more enthusiastic in participating in politics. No matter a Chinese candidate belongs to what party, the Chinese community should back them up."

Dr. Benson Lau has been a Tory for 18 years. He has served the middle district Chinatown and Scarborough for many years. He unsuccessfully ran twice for city councilor in 1990 and 1993.

Lau said he will make a decision whether to run for the Tories before the end of Feb. "This is a big decision. I have to balance factors such as serving my patients, my family and the penetration of the Liberal party in the Toronto area."


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Handful of voters, trio of issues, key to Tory and Liberal fates

By Bruce Anderson

OTTAWA (CP) - A fairly small group of women, urban and Quebec voters could make the difference in Prime Minister Stephen Harper's bid to win the next election. How Harper handles taxes, Afghanistan and the environment may determine how they mark their ballots.

In our latest survey at Decima Research, completed on Jan. 2, about one in every two people reported satisfaction with the overall performance of the Harper government.

That's 13 points more than the final rating we saw for the Paul Martin government, just before they lost office. If everyone satisfied with the new government's performance voted Conservative, Harper would win a landslide.

Better still for the government, satisfaction rose from 43 in March to 47 in December. However, during the same period, the number of Canadians who said they'd vote Conservative in the next election dropped from the high 30s to the mid 30s.

What explains this different trajectory? And how to account for a 13 point gap between those who are satisfied with Ottawa's performance (47) and those who tell us they'll vote Conservative (34)?

First, some of those who are "satisfied" are really saying they aren't as disappointed as they expected to be. Some are saying they're satisfied but feel they'd be more satisfied with a different government. That constitutes faint praise, in other words.

This 13 of voters represents the bottom line for the Conservatives. If Harper wins one in two of them, he could win a majority government. If not, it's a minority or worse. But the Conservatives have been losing rather than making up ground among these voters in the last year.

Here's why.

These voters are more often than not women, and tend to live in cities and suburbs more than rural areas. A fair number are Quebecers who, in the absence of an appealing alternative, default to a Bloc Quebecois vote to promote Quebec's interests with whatever government wins.

For these voters, the next election will turn on which of the Liberal or Conservative parties looks best on a small bundle of "ballot issues." Plausible ballot issues include: the economy, taxes, Canada-US relations, Afghanistan, health care and the environment. And in Quebec, the fiscal imbalance has become the new code for the perpetual issue of whether Quebec is being treated well or fairly enough by Ottawa.

But if success is a function of focus, then it's useful to try to distill the list.

Barring a major change between now and election day, the winner could be the party that looks best on at least two of the following three issues: taxes, the environment and Afghanistan.

These issues are not just nuts and bolts policy questions, but touch on fundamental values of voters and the two big parties. And they are issues that can create distance between the Conservatives and the female, urban and Quebec voters they need.

On these three issues, there's been good news and bad for the Conservatives lately. Ratings on taxes are relatively good - up four points from September.

On international affairs (in recent months a surrogate for Canada's policy in the Middle East and Afghanistan), public satisfaction is low by historical standards, but up four points since September.

On the environment, ratings have dropped by six points to become the single weakest area of federal performance, according to voters. Eighteen credit the government with doing a good job, while 74 say "poor job." Last week's cabinet shuffle may signal to some voters that the government took note of their concerns.

Some analysts argue that foreign and environment policy won't be ballot issues because they rarely have been in the past. This view could turn out to be right.

But for the Conservatives to bet on this view and campaign on other agenda items, such as crime or democratic reform, might prove risky. Times could, in fact, be different.

It's been 50 years since Canada was involved in a conflict as deadly and costly as Afghanistan is turning out to be. And while it's true that environmental concerns wax and wane in relation to swings in the economy, few voters are worried about the economy today, and economic swings are mild. Finally, since Hurricane Katrina, Canadians have become more convinced that the climate is changing and the planet is in trouble. This phenomenon has never been present in any prior election.

And so, female, urban/suburban and Quebec voters will probably turn out to be the "swing voters" who hold the key to whether the Liberals or Conservatives form the next government. They're engaged, want to be impressed, and their votes are up for grabs.

Like other voters, they enjoy lower taxes, but not if that means dismantling key programs: current advantage to the Conservatives.

More than other voters they value environmental action: current advantage to the Liberals.

And more than other voters, they are unsure about the best course of action in Afghanistan: on this issue, no party has a clear advantage at the moment, as news reports from Washington and Kandahar cause swings in public mood.

At the end of the day, the details of these issues may matter less than how they reflect the underlying values of the parties, leaders and voters. These swing voters want peace, but not at any price, want lower taxes, but not at any cost, and want more effort on the environment, with no qualification or prevarication.
___
Bruce Anderson is CEO, Decima Research

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Charges worth of Saddam's execution dropped

I can't believe this!!!

Court Drops Kurd Charges Against Saddam

Mon Jan 8, 2007 1:31 AM PST

President Bush is putting the final touches on a new Iraq plan -- while top Democrats are warning him about the idea of a troop 'surge.' AP White House correspondent Mark Smith reports.

BAGHDAD, IRAQ — Saddam Hussein's trial for the killing of 180,000 Kurds in the 1980s resumed Monday with the late dictator's seat empty, nine days after he went to the gallows. The court's first order of business was to drop all charges against Saddam.

Six co-defendants still face charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity stemming from a military campaign code-named Operation Anfal during the 1980-88 Iraq-Iran war.

Shortly after the court reconvened Monday, a bailiff called out the names of the accused and the six men walked silently into the courtroom one after another.

Chief Judge Mohammed Oreibi al-Khalifa said the court decided to stop all legal action against the former president, since "the death of defendant Saddam was confirmed."

All seven defendants in the Anfal case, including Saddam, had pleaded innocent to charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity. Saddam and one other man also pleaded innocent to the additional charge of genocide.

Saddam was sentenced to death for the killing of 148 Shiites and hanged on Dec. 30 in a chaotic execution that has drawn global criticism for the Shiite-dominated government. An illicit video from inside the former leader's execution chamber showed him being taunted on the gallows.

British Prime Minister Tony Blair believed the manner in which Saddam was executed was "completely wrong," his office said Sunday.

"He believes that the manner of the execution was completely wrong, but that should not lead us to forget the crimes that Saddam Hussein committed, including the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis," a spokeswoman for Blair's office said on condition of anonymity in line with policy.

Human Rights Watch said Saddam's speedy execution illustrated the Iraqi government's disregard for human rights, and urged Iraqi officials to halt two upcoming hangings.

"The tribunal repeatedly showed its disregard for the fundamental due process rights of all of the defendants," said Richard Dicker, director of Human Rights Watch's International Justice Program.

Saddam's half brother and former intelligence chief, Barzan Ibrahim, and former head of Iraq's Revolutionary Court, Awad Hamed al-Bandar, were sentenced to death after being convicted along with Saddam of involvement in the killings in the town of Dujail after a 1982 assassination attempt there against Saddam.

Their executions were postponed, however, until after the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha, which ended six days ago. They were expected in the coming days, though Jaafar al-Mousawi, the chief prosecutor in the separate Dujail case, said the timing would "be determined by the government."

Sami al-Askari, an adviser to Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, declined to give reasons for the delay and said only that "no date has been made yet" for al-Bandar and Ibrahim's hangings.

The six remaining defendants in the Anfal case — all senior members of Saddam's ousted regime — include his cousin Ali Hassan al-Majid, known as "Chemical Ali" for his alleged use of chemical weapons against Iraqi Kurds.

As al-Majid took his seat in court Monday, he tried to turn on his microphone to speak publicly. The judge quickly shut it off, preventing him from being heard.

The other defendants are former Defense Minister Sultan Hashim al-Tai, who was the commander of Task Force Anfal and head of the Iraqi army 1st Corps; Sabir al-Douri, Saddam's military intelligence chief; Taher Tawfiq al-Ani, former governor of Mosul and head of the Northern Affairs Committee; Hussein Rashid Mohammed, former deputy director of operations for the Iraqi Armed Forces and Farhan Mutlaq Saleh, former head of military intelligence's eastern regional office.

Legal experts said the Anfal trial would proceed more smoothly without Saddam.

"The trial will be more elastic and easy. It will clarify and expose more facts because Saddam Hussein's disappearance from dock will encourage other defendants to mention some facts that they were afraid to divulge when he was with them," said Tariq Harb, an Iraqi lawyer and legal expert.

In Monday's session, prosecutor Munqith al-Faroon presented a document allegedly signed by al-Ani, calling for the execution of 10 members of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, the party headed by current Iraqi President Jalal Talabani. Al-Ani later denied the handwriting was his.

"This is not my signature and I'm sure of that," he told the court.

The prosecutor also aired a video showing the aftermath of chemical weapons attacks on Kurdish areas, with dozens of dead men, women and children. Accompanying audio allegedly contained the voice of al-Majid saying "I will hit them with chemical (weapons)."

Another audiotape was played for the court, allegedly with Saddam saying, "These weapons are only used at my orders."

Violence continued Monday, with nine people killed in an ambush near Baghdad's airport. Gunmen attacked a bus full of workers en route to the airport, showering them with bullets, a hospital paramedic said on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to reporters. The victims were mainly Shiite Muslims from Baghdad's Sadr City neighborhood, the official said.

The U.S. military also reported the deaths of two American soldiers north of Baghdad a day earlier.

Six bodies were discovered in the primarily Sunni neighborhood of Dora in southern Baghdad, police said. They were a father and his three sons, and a mother and her son, who had been returning to Baghdad from relatives' funerals in Najaf, a police officer said on condition of anonymity out of security concerns.

A tribal council chief was kidnapped near Samarra, on his way home from the Muslim pilgrimage to Mecca, said Capt. Muthanna Ibrahim, director of the Salahaddin governor's office. Samarra is 60 miles north of Baghdad.


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Chinese workers found paying $10,000 to get jobs at Canadian meat firm

This is surreal... this is exactly the modern version of selling cheap Chinese railway labour of the 1800s! The Chinese labourers were described to have been "sold as pigs" (賣豬仔). Some remote family members of mine had experienced that.

From the Globe and Mail:

Meat firm abandons China deal
Consultant for Maple Leaf found workers willing to pay $10,000 to come to Canada

WINNIPEG -- Maple Leaf Foods has shut down its program to import workers from China after discovering that 61 employees at its Brandon pork plant paid $10,000 each to come to Canada under a deal arranged by the partner of a Maple Leaf executive.

Maple Leaf said it had no knowledge of the payments, and although no criminal wrongdoing is alleged, they launched an investigation immediately after learning that many workers are struggling to pay debts related to the fee, which is equivalent to about four times the average annual salary in China.

The company said it hired a Canadian immigration consultant to find workers on its behalf. Although the company refused to identify the consultant, The Globe and Mail has learned that it is Sophia Cummings Enterprises, based in Vancouver.

Maple Leaf confirmed that a company executive is in a relationship with Cummings but refused to give the name.

Linda Kuhn, a spokeswoman for Maple Leaf, said there was full disclosure of that relationship and it played no role in awarding the contract.

Cummings is travelling abroad and could not be reached for comment.

The company planned to bring in several hundred workers from China on temporary visas to staff its Brandon plant. The workers arrived in Brandon, a city of 40,000 250 kilometres west of Winnipeg, last spring. They were adjusting well to the community and earning good reviews at work, the company said. But in October, some of the workers asked to be moved out of the apartments arranged for them by Maple Leaf because they were too costly.

That is when it emerged that many of them were struggling under a weight of debt.

"The extent of the cost I'm sure has borne some burden on these people," Kuhn said.

Officials with the United Food and Commercial Workers union said the Chinese employees are reluctant to speak publicly for fear of repercussions against them and their families in China. But the union said it is concerned about the situation. The workers are paid a starting salary of about $15 an hour for various kinds of work in the plant. Although they are in Canada on temporary visas, some may eventually be able to stay in Manitoba through the provincial nominee program.

Maple Leaf has recruited abroad for many years, particularly in Mexico and El Salvador, partly because of the widespread labour shortage in Western Canada. But Kuhn said they have never encountered this kind of payment arrangement before.

They stress that the payments are not illegal and were arranged in another country, but they are concerned that it happened without their knowledge or approval.

As a result, they have terminated their business relationship with Cummings.

The Department of Human Resources and Social Development delved into the case and interviewed several of the Chinese workers after being contacted last month by Maple Leaf.

"We're trying to get to the bottom of this as well," said George Rohulych, the department's manager of employment progra "What we've been able to learn is that these workers had responded to ads in China from a company that offers its services to people wanting to secure international employment."

For the equivalent of about $10,000, payable in cash only, the workers received training in meat-cutting and some education in English as a second language.

Although it seems a great deal of money, there is nothing the department can do about this type of arrangement, Rohulych said.

"All that we do is provide a labour-market opinion to the employer that enables them to recruit outside of Canada," he said. "I have no jurisdiction if workers use a third party or if an employer uses a third party."

Initially, he was concerned that the workers had paid for their passage to Canada, which is illegal under the terms of the temporary worker visa. But that proved not to be the case, he said. It is unclear where the money ended up.

Maple Leaf has government approval to bring in 182 more foreign workers this year, but with their China plans on hold, it's not known where those workers will come from.

"I know they're anxious to bring more workers in because they have a need at the facility," Rohulych said.

Kuhn said Maple Leaf is considering making some form of restitution to the 61 workers, but she could not say how much money they might receive.
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Chinese outsourcing deal not a threat to Canadian R&D: CATA chief

From Ottawa Business Journal:

Canadian and Chinese high tech companies signed an agreement last month, a bid to make it easier to sell products in each other's markets.

But while the Canadian Advanced Technology Alliance (CATA) said the agreement will create growth in Canada's IT sector, it also allowed that it may accelerate the pace of some research and development jobs leaving for China and other nations.

Experts seem to agree that the loss of some jobs is inevitable. However, they also agree that it's how the Canadian education system and the government react to the evolving state of the IT industry that will make the difference in the long term.

China's Shenyang Neusoft Company Ltd., employer of 10,000 workers, signed an exclusive agreement last month with CATA, which speaks for a majority of the Canadian technology sector.

The industry lobby group called the memorandum a "mutually beneficial partnership" that will expand Neusoft's business in North America and that of CATA members' in China.

Eighty per cent of CATA's membership are export-oriented firms. This deal will help them, said CATA president John Reid.

"We see ourselves as the driver of these exports. (The agreement) is a way of getting the Canadian market access (to China)," he said.

"We are acting directly for Canadian firms, not only giving them access to cost-effective software development, but opening the door to the Chinese market."

China, CATA said, is the sixth largest ICT market in the world, valued at US$118 billion. Small Canadian firms like Casero Inc., want to tap into that part of the world, and were part of a recent CATA delegation to China.

"We're constantly looking for additional markets," said Arif Hirani, sales director for Casero. "Obviously, China is one of the largest."

Mr. Hirani said agreements like this are positive. Casero recently developed a line of new broadband products, he said, and is constantly on the search for new places to sell.

"As a result of the conference, we have opportunities in the Asian marketplace, not just China specifically, but Singapore, Hong Kong, Philippines . . . the whole Asian marketplace."

Under the terms of the 10-year agreement, all North American companies that wish to take advantage of software outsourcing with Neusoft will do so through CATAAlliance.

But it's the potential loss of Canadian R&D positions, highly-skilled jobs that have been a point of pride in Canada for years, that worries some IT workers in Canada, some of whom contacted the OBJ privately to express concern.

Mr. Reid said the departure of a certain number of Canadian R&D jobs to China and elsewhere is "inevitable," but admitted that Canada must go about it correctly.

"As a business model, you have to continually look at what makes you most successful," he said. "...otherwise, your competitors will. If they can lower product prices by 10 per cent, then you price yourself out of the market.

"We don't want to lose our R&D excellence here. But at the same time, we want to make sure the companies commercialize and sell (their) products as much as possible. If you don't sell your products, R&D isn't going to do you any good."

Paul Swinwood, president and CEO of the Information and Communications Technology Council, agreed.

"This is not a new approach to things, this is just the continuation of the globalization economy, because the knowledge economy is everywhere where there is knowledge," he said.

Mr. Swinwood said he remembered IT R&D outsourcing occurring as far back as the 1960s. He said outsourcing can't be halted, and pointed to similar deals in place with India, with Russia likely the next one.

However, the council said last fall that Canada will need 89,000 more IT workers over the next three to five years. With only 3,000 IT graduates yearly, demand for R&D skills far exceeds the potential loss.

Canada needs to react, Mr. Swinwood said, by implementing what he termed a national recognition program in post-secondary education, for "consistency, from coast to coast . . . so that somebody with a degree at the 'University College of the North Atlantic' will have it recognized in Toronto."

"Canada is one of the only countries in the world without a national education focus," he said. "(Education) is separated by province, then it's delegated to individual universities. What we need to have is a national set of learning outcomes.

"And that's what my council is trying to put in place," he said, adding that it has already implement one in some high schools.

There will always be IT jobs that remain local, he continued.

"The number of R&D jobs is just exploding. While some of the jobs may go off to India and China, there will still be the business jobs, there will still be the local R&D jobs . . . Your help desk may go to China. But the people who run your network are local. The guy who comes to plug your modem back in will never be outsourced.

"You can't open the borders on one hand, and close them on the other," Mr. Reid added.

Mr. Hirani didn't see his company turning to Chinese R&D any time soon, but didn't discount the notion either.

"We're constantly researching and developing new products," he said. "My development team is always looking at new areas. But currently, we're doing the majority of our R&D in Toronto."

Will the agreement lead to the eventual loss of all R&D jobs in Canada? Mr. Reid said no.

"That would be taking it to the extreme," he said. "In many areas, we will continue to have expertise in R&D. There will be new R&D areas, like biometrics or medical technologies."

He said he expected to see the first Canadian company taking advantage of the agreement soon.

"We'll be rolling out the various (possibilities), I'd say, within the first three months."


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Korean students adopt China, abandon Canada

More Koreans Studying in China and Southeast Asia

A growing number of Korean parents are now sending their children to study in China and Southeast Asian countries rather than the usual destination North America. According to the Education and Human Resources Development Ministry, during the school year of 2005 a total of 10,351 elementary, middle, and high school students chose to continue their academic pursuits in China and Southeast Asia.

The figure is said to be up more than five times compared to some 2,000 such students in the year 2000. Meanwhile the number of students headed to the US, Canada and Australia all dropped over the five-year period. The 2005 school year is from March 2005 to the end of February 2006.

Arirang News

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Scotland judge clears driver because 'Chinese all look the same'

Judge clears driver because 'Chinese all look the same'

By David Lister, Scotland Correspondent, The Times

A JUDGE has provoked outrage among race relations groups by claiming that all Chinese people look the same.

Sheriff Margaret Gimblett cleared Hui Yu, 23, a student from Beijing, of a motoring offence after dismissing evidence from two police officers identifying him.

She told Greenock Sheriff Court: "Without wanting to be derogatory in any way, sometimes it is said that all black people look the same at first glance, and the same can be said that all Chinese people can look the same to a native Scot.

"It’s only when you have time to look that you begin to see the differences."

Hui, a part-time supermarket worker who lives in Paisley, Renfrewshire, had been identified by the officers as the man they had stopped last December on a petrol station forecourt in Port Glasgow. They said that he had been driving a Rover 400, and had failed to produce his driving documents when he was asked for them. Hui was subsequently charged with driving without insurance.

One of the officers, PC Michelle Meechan, told the court: "It’s my job to learn faces and I’m quite good at it." However, Hui denied the offence, claiming that he had been with his girlfriend, Meng Dong, 22, at her flat in Paisley when the offence was alleged to have taken place.

On finding Hui not guilty, Sheriff Gimblett said: "This trial raises interesting issues because, when foreigners are in a country, they look different from the native inhabitants of that country and there can be a difficulty — even with experienced observers."

She told Hui: "In this case, I have no doubts that the police officers gave evidence that they thought was correct. However, I have great doubt about the reliability of that evidence and I have to give you the benefit of the doubt."

A spokesman for the Commission for Racial Equality said yesterday: "The sheriff may have had her reasons for what she said, but these were not particularly helpful comments to make."

Kenny MacAskill, the Scottish National Party’s justice spokesman, said that the sheriff’s remarks had been crass, insensitive and incorrect.

However, Hui appeared to agree with Sheriff Gimblett. "It is true that people from one nationality or race can look the same to people from another nationality or race. It is the same for Chinese people — we find it quite hard at first to tell the difference between groups of Scots," he said.

Sheriff Gimblett is no stranger to controversy. In 1999 she cleared three protesters who caused £80,000 damage to equipment during a demonstration at Faslane, the Royal Navy’s nuclear submarine base, claiming that their action was justified by a ruling under international law that nuclear weapons were illegal. She said afterwards: "I’m rather worried about my job after this. I certainly won’t be expecting a mention in the honours list." The Government challenged the ruling, and in 2001 the Court of Criminal Appeal said that Sheriff Gimblett had been wrong.

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'Chinese-ness' by race, or by culture?

The author of the following article observes that the Chinese identifying people as Chinese ONLY by race. This is so true. Recently there was a documentary in Hong Kong investigating how Hong Kong-born foreigners live their life in the former British colony and how they identify themselves. An Indian couple say they are born in Hong Kong, educated in Hong Kong and only speak Cantonese. They do karaoke and watch local TV programs. Culturally they are very "Hong Kong". However, Chinese Hong Kong won't see them as Chinese. They are always someone from India.

While in Canada, we are taught to live in a multicultural world and see people as Canadian by naturalization or whether he or she is locally-born. (Of course there are always people think that Canadians should be white, from Western Europe. I'm not interested in talking about them.)

I gave this question some thinking. I believe the reason why the Chinese in China/Hong Kong/Taiwan (though Taiwanese define "Chinese" differently) see others as Chinese only by race is that China has never been an immigrant country (neither is Japan and many other Asian countries.) The only so-called "immigrants" that Hong Kong, though a former British colony, had ever received in large scale were refugees from China who escaped the war and the communist rule.

China did not have any immigration laws or regulations set permitting immigration. A foreigner is only allowed to reside there for reasons of work, study, travel, or marriage over a certain period of time.

It was only until 2002 that China "drafts new immigration rules in an effort to create more favorable conditions for skilled foreigners to live and work in China." (People's Daily, June 12, 2002)

Without any experience of absorbing "foreigners" into the Chinese mainstream, the Chinese are only beginning to learn defining the term "Chinese" differently.

And this is why China begins to look to Canada for advices on multiculturalistic policies.

The following article is from the Shanghai Daily.

Puzzle of identity: Beyond race, nationality
By Wayne Hsu 2007-1-8

HOW we identify ourselves is how we perceive others see us.

For example, if I identify myself as an American, I also wish others to perceive me as an American.

Identifying oneself can sometimes be a tricky act. Many factors may come into play - race, nationality and cultural background.

Take for instance that I was born in China of Chinese ancestry, and at the age of three I moved to France and lived there until I was 25. Shortly after that, I moved to the United States and became a US citizen.

So, how should I identify myself? Am I Chinese? Sure, my race is Chinese. Am I French? Sure, my cultural background is French. Am I American? Of course, my nationality is American. The question remains how should we identify ourselves?

Perhaps, a more significant question to ask oneself is: Which is the most important factor among race, culture, and nationality?

But it is quite possible that I may be wrong. And if I am wrong, can I also assume that someone is not Chinese? Namely, is there such a Chinese (looking) person who cannot use chopsticks, speak Chinese and is ignorant of Chairman Mao?

Well, if one identifies people strictly by race, one must identify this person as Chinese, since his race is Chinese.

But one can hardly imagine a Chinese person who can't speak Chinese, use chopsticks and is unaware of Chairman Mao.

So perhaps, race is not such a reasonable factor to determine one's identity, since it can sometimes reveal nothing about one's character.

Having lived in China for a few years, I've noticed most Chinese identify a Chinese simply by race - descendants of the dragon.

I will always be viewed as Chinese by another Chinese because my blood is Chinese. No matter what my culture may be, I'll always remain Chinese. This is something I've come to realize while living in China.

One cannot become Chinese, one is born Chinese.

However, certain other nationalities are quite different. The United States, Canada, Brazil, and Australia may have a wide variety of races, cultures, and religions.

A national identity is fused by people from various parts of the world. Therefore people can become American or Canadian.

All it takes is embracing the culture of that nation.

My Caucasian friends tell me they will never become or be perceived as Chinese even though they may be culturally Chinese. Some foreigners may have been born in China and may be just as "Chinese" in behavior and thought just as any other ordinary Chinese.

However, if they don't look Chinese, they can't be Chinese. Culture plays no factor in identifying oneself, according to most mainlanders. It is impossible to become Chinese.

Nationality, on the other hand, is changeable. In our lifetime, we may have more than one nationality and some people may have two nationalities at the same time.

In addition, one's nationality may reveal nothing about one's character, just as race.

Finally, we have culture to examine. What is culture?

Culture is vast. It may include language, art, food, politics, history, customs, philosophy, religion, sports, and primarily our values - what we think is important.

Our values determine who we are and how we act and this is exactly how one should identify oneself.

What could be more revealing about me than what I do and how I act? Should we judge people by what they do and how they think?

Certainly, culture determines how we think and what we do.

So does this mean if a person's racial background is Indian but he or she talks, acts, breathes, walks, thinks, and behaves like a German, then is she or he a German?

Well, in my opinion, yes.
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Canada works with Taiwan on construction technologies

(caption: prppane burner fire)

Canada-Taiwan Workshop on Construction Technologies

A delegation from Canada's NRC Institute for Research in Construction (NRC-IRC) will soon be heading to Taiwan as part of an upcoming workshop on construction technologies. NRC has an ongoing collaboration with Taiwan's National Science Council (NSC) and the workshop is the latest in a series of partnership activities between the two organizations. Since 1997, over 20 such workshops have been held, and there are over 20 active joint research projects.

The delegation will include a number of NRC-IRC researchers active in a wide array of construction technologies. These technologies address topics such as: construction building materials (the use of nanotechnology in concrete): the living environment of buildings (sound insulation against aircraft, road and train noise); and, fire risk management in buildings. The team will also include a representative from Carleton University specialized in the study of construction technologies and earthquakes.

Team members will be giving detailed presentations at the meeting, which will be matched with presentations from their Taiwanese counterparts in similar or complementary fields of research. NRC-IRC researcher and workshop coordinator Mike Swinton points out that research is always leading in new directions. The purpose of the workshop is to identify mutual areas of interest where both sides can pool their expertise and resources to move promising technologies forward. "Papers presented as part of the workshop proceedings will differ somewhat from traditional scientific papers, which typically offer a set of conclusions about experiments conducted. In this case, researchers will describe their findings but also identify and suggest future opportunities for research," Swinton said such a format gives researchers a shared understanding of each other's research but, more importantly, opens doors to further discussion and collaboration.

As an example, Swinton will present findings about the use of small-scale combined heat and power generation systems, a topic of some interest given the widespread 2003 power blackout in Eastern North America. Testing has identified the need for improved storage and control systems. New information in this area would help manufacturers increase the effectiveness of their technology, making it easier to commercialize.

Dr. Gary Lougheed from NRC-IRC will present findings concerning smoke control in large-volume spaces such as stadiums, conference centres and atria, high-ceiling structures popular in many new office building designs and shopping malls. The open design of these structures provides unique challenges for the control and movement of smoke, which is the deadliest threat in a fire. According to Dr. Lougheed, the workshop will be useful for identifying "overlap" in research expertise and he noted a number of areas where collaborations would be useful. For example, he pointed out that when exhaust fans remove smoke from open spaces, "make-up air" has to be supplied to the buildings to compensate. Due to air-speed restrictions inside buildings, it is not a matter of simply using existing systems to introduce more air. Instead, builders and designers are being challenged to accommodate significantly larger and extensive air intake vents on building exteriors.

In 2002-2003, NRC organized over 100 international workshops and conferences. "The workshop format is an excellent way to bring researchers together," Swinton said. The long-term benefits of these workshops can be significant. Workshops help stimulate collaborative research, meaning Canadian researchers get to benefit from international sources of expertise and are able to share research costs. NRC-IRC works closely with the Canadian construction industry and research collaborations can help open new networking opportunities for Canadian firms. Workshops also represent a unique opportunity to learn about other markets for Canadian construction technology, in this case the Pacific Rim.


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Policymakers expect world growth of 4% in 2007

BASEL, Switzerland (Reuters) - Financial policymakers gave an upbeat assessment on Sunday for a world economy heading into its fifth straight year of above 4% growth, although the uncertain path for oil prices still poses a risk.

Against this backdrop, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Rodrigo Rato recommended major central bankers take a cautious approach to setting interest rates, making decisions as economic data unfolds.

That would mark a shift from the steady path of interest rate increases seen in Europe over the past year, while in the United States the Federal Reserve already has paused to assess the outlook.

"The world economy is moving into another year of strong growth and broad-based growth," Rato said after the first day of meetings with central bankers from the world's major economies here at the Bank for International Settlements.

"We see strong growth in Europe, continuation in Japan, and we see very strong growth in Asia and other areas, and certainly from the point of view of the United States, the central scenario is a soft landing," Rato told reporters.

Backing the prospect that global growth is becoming more widely spread around the world's main economic regions, rather than driven primarily by the United States and China, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge also said there were positive signs on the unwinding of world economic imbalances.

The IMF estimates that global growth will slow slightly to 4.9% annual rate this year from 5.1% in 2006, and Rato did not modify that forecast.

But this outlook along with plenty of money circulating to finance global growth also creates challenges for central bankers as they try to keep prices stable, Rato said.

"In that respect, we see the position of the major central banks, the Federal Reserve and the ECB (European Central Bank), is the accurate one in terms of responding to real data of economy to maintain their monetary policies," he said.

One challenge is crude oil prices, which Rato said still pose a potential inflationary threat, even though that has not materialized yet and prices have retreated recently. Crude oil has tumbled from $78 a barrel in early August 2006 to $56.31 last Friday last week.

"I think it is necessary that monetary policy remain vigilant," Rato added. Vigilance usually is central banker code for readiness to raise interest rates again. Such vigilance also was an appropriate stance for the Bank of Japan, he said.

FLEXIBILE CHINA

Strong global growth would also keep demand robust for cheap Chinese exports. China's central bank chief Zhou Xiaochuan said China's growing trade surplus could mean increased flexibility in its yuan currency, which has appreciated 3.7% since its revaluation in July 2005 -- a rise the United States considers insufficient.

"If the trend is continued in this way, certainly I think the renminbi flexibility will be expanded," Zhou said, when asked if the trading band for the currency would be widened.

Further currency appreciation depended on market supply and demand, he said.

The U.S. and Europe consider the yuan is still undervalued, giving China an unfair trade advantage, and that a stronger Chinese currency would help ease global economic imbalances.

Canada's Dodge said some progress had been made on this front, although the pace was still an open question.

"There is some small evidence of appropriate adjustment taking place," he told reporters.

OIL PRICE PINCH

Growth and inflation prospects are also helped by a dip in crude oil prices. But lower oil prices could also have a negative impact on oil-producers Canada and Saudi Arabia.

Dodge said the weakness in the Canadian dollar, which was dragged to a near year-low against the U.S. dollar last week amid the oil price slide, was not surprising although currency moves had generally reflected economic fundamentals.

The head of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency said the world's largest oil producer could struggle if prices fell further, although current prices would have little impact.

"The problem is if it would continue and if it would fall more substantially. It could affect revenue, but it is an exogenous factor," Governor Hamad Saud al-Sayyari said.

Mexican central bank governor Guillermo Ortiz said the fall in crude costs could also widen credit spreads which have hit historic lows for emerging debt -- a trend Rato agreed needed monitoring although he said it was not necessarily a problem.

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Are heterosexual internet users antisocial?

Are Heterosexual Internet Users Antisocial?

Put another way (and paraphrasing the old Breck's television campaign), do straights have less fun? Well, online, at least, maybe so....

The results of a recent survey commissioned by Witeck-Combs Communications and conducted by Harris Interactive suggest that online social network sites are more popular with gay, lesbian and bisexual (GLB) Internet users than they are with heterosexual Web surfers.

An online survey of over 2,500 US adults (ages 18 and older) showed that, proportionately, GLB Internet users visit social networking sites Friendster and MySpace more often in an average week than do heterosexual Internet usrs, with Facebook used about equally by the two groups.

Additionally, 27% of GLB Internet users reported that they visit YouTube for an hour or so each week, compared with 22% of heterosexual respondents.



GLB respondents to the survey were also slightly more likely to visit Craigslist, with 20% spending around an hour each week there, compared with 13% of heterosexual Internet users.

Overall, GLB Internet users spend significantly more time online than their heterosexual counterparts, according to the survey results. Excluding e-mail usage, nearly twice as many GLB respondents (32%) said they are online between 24 and 168 hours a week, compared with only 18% of heterosexual Internet users who reported the same.

"We have consistently benchmarked strong online usage by the gay community," said Bob Witeck, CEO of Witeck-Combs. "Social networks also appear to be second nature for the gay and lesbian consumer [and] that translates directly into significant market opportunities."

For more on social networking site opportunities, read eMarketer's Social Network Marketing: Ad Spending Update report.

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Abe visits Meiji shrine in New Year, avoids war shrine

(caption: Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe waves to well-wishers during his visit to Meiji Shrine in Tokyo January 6, 2007. Abe visited the Shinto shrine but avoided a controversial war shrine in what domestic media said was an effort to please conservative supporters without raising hackles abroad. REUTERS/Kyodo)

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's prime minister visited a Shinto shrine at the weekend, but avoided a controversial war shrine in what domestic media said was an effort to please conservative supporters without raising hackles abroad.

Shinzo Abe has made efforts to repair ties with China, soured largely by his predecessor Junichiro Koizumi's visits to the Yasukuni shrine, which honours Japanese World War Two leaders convicted as major war criminals alongside millions of war dead.

Critics says Yasukuni symbolises the militarism behind Japan's invasion and occupation of much of Asia in the early 20th century.

Abe visited both Beijing and Seoul within weeks of taking office in September, and visits by Chinese and South Korean leaders to Japan are planned for next year.

But his government's support rates have tumbled in recent weeks and Abe has come under fire from conservative backers for apparently toning down his stance on controversial issues related to Japan's history.

"The prime minister wants to clearly show his conservative stance," Kyodo quoted an Abe aide as saying of the visit to the Meiji Shrine, which attracts millions of people on traditional New Year pilgrimages in the first few days of January.

Ichiro Ozawa, leader of the main opposition Democratic Party, told NHK television on Sunday Abe's penchant for compromise was probably one reason for his falling support rates.

Abe also had yet to create a real relationship of trust with China, Ozawa said.

"From now on, Abe must create and implement his own diplomatic strategy based on his own ideas," the opposition leader said.

"But at present, the boldness Mr. Abe displayed before becoming prime minister has disappeared and he just seems to be compromising while worrying about other people's opinions," Ozawa added.


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Sculptors from Canada, China carve out winter wonderland in Ice Festival

Ice skaters perform as a Chinese man works on sculpting snow in the likeness of Niagara falls in the background as the city prepares for its famous Ice and Snow Festival in Harbin, the capital city of China's northernmost province, Heilongjiang in China Friday Jan. 5, 2007. The Ice and Snow festival is one of the largest of its kind in the world. Braving temperatures that can reach 35 degrees Celsius below zero (-31 degrees Fahrenheit) tourist flock by the thousands to enjoy the ice carvings and snow sculptures. (AP Photo/Elizabeth Dalziel)

Chinese carve out a giant snow sculpture in the likeness of Niagara Falls as the city prepares for its famous Ice and Snow Festival in Harbin, the capital city of China's northernmost province, Heilongjiang in China Friday Jan. 5, 2007. The Ice and snow festival is one of the largest of its kind in the world. Braving temperatures that can reach 35 degrees Celsius below zero(-31 degree Fahrenheit) tourist flock by the thousands to enjoy the ice carvings and snow sculptures. (AP Photo/Elizabeth Dalziel)

The lit ice and snow world is seen during the opening of the Ice and Snow Festival in Harbin, the capital city of China's northernmost province Heilongjiang, Friday night, Jan. 5, 2007. The ice and snow festival is one of the largest of its kind in the world. Braving temperatures that can reach 35 degrees Celsius below zero tourist flock by the thousands to enjoy the ice carvings and snow sculptures on display. (AP Photo/Elizabeth Dalziel)

Ice festival launched in China

Harbin, the capital city of Heilongjiang Province in China has raised the curtain on it's annual international ice and snow festival.

Covering an area of 400,000 square metres and built with 120,000 cubic metres of ice and snow, the park is situated on the ironically named Sun Island.

A passionate, star-studded ceremony was held to welcome tourists from home and abroad.

Talented sculptors and artists from Canada and China combined their efforts, transforming the island into a mysterious wonderland of snow.

Sculptures ranged from fairytale to cartoon characters.

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Surrey prosecutor returns from law reform exchange program with China

From the Peace Arch News:

A Canadian in China: Surrey prosecutor returns from exchange program

"You don’t look Canadian at all," a senior Chinese official told an amused Winston Sayson when the veteran Surrey Crown prosecutor arrived at an international forum at Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province.

Sayson said the law students at the National Prosecutors College in Shijiazhuang "appeared to be appreciative and a bit surprised that a Chinese person was part of the Canadian delegation."

He was part of a four-person team of legal experts invited to China last month as part of a four-year Canada-China Procuratorate Reform Co-operation Project operated by Chinese authorities and the Vancouver-based International Centre for Criminal Law Reform and Criminal Justice Policy.

The project aims to modernize a Chinese legal system that currently gives a great deal more power to prosecutors (called procurators) than their Canadian counterparts.

Sayson, who speaks a different dialect of Chinese than his hosts, relied on a translator during his presentation about the way Canadian courts deal with children as victims, witnesses and accused criminals.

He described how he prosecuted a sexual assault case involving a six-year-old victim who was allowed to testify behind a one-way screen and had a support person sit beside her.

Sayson told his Chinese counterparts about the Canadian approach to young criminals, which treats them differently than adults, and aims to avoid incarceration for non-violent crimes.

He also raised the "delicate issue" of forced confessions with law students, telling them he would "never accept the confession of an accused person which was obtained by torture.

"I explained I am a failure as a prosecutor if I secured the conviction of an innocent person or used inadmissible evidence to improperly obtain convictions," Sayson recounted.

"I made the submission that we belong to an honourable and dignified profession. Much power, discretion, and responsibility have been entrusted to us. However, much is rightfully demanded and expected of us."

In Hebei Province alone there are 8,000 procurators in the Provincial People’s Procuratorate serving 68 million residents.

"I was struck by the massive size of the criminal justice system in China," Sayson said.

"The task and cost of maintaining ‘social harmony’ (as the Chinese describe the rule of law) in a country of 1.3 billion people is staggering."

Because of that, Sayson doesn’t expect China will simply switch to a Canadian-style system, which serves a much smaller population and is considered "cumbersome" by his Chinese counterparts.

"If China were to adopt wholesale the way we do business, their justice system would come to a grinding halt," Sayson said.

The Chinese system, for example, saves time by allowing procurators to file victim statements instead of calling witnesses to prove a case.

Canadian professor Vincent Yang, who developed the exchange program, said Chinese trials are "less complicated and costly" than their Canadian equivalents, but the Chinese system has a "problem of judicial corruption" unlike the Canadian, where instances of corruption are "hardly a problem."

On returning to Canada, Sayson said the trip was an eye-opening experience that shows China is "truly opening up to the world."

"The mere fact we were welcomed by the Foreign Affairs Bureau of the Supreme People’s Procuratorate speaks loudly of China’s desire to abide by the international norms and declarations of the United Nations," Sayson said.


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Will Dragon Boys fall to stereotypes?

Will Dragon Boys fall to stereotypes?

A thriller set in Vancouver about triad gang violence has Asian Canadians watching closely, but producers of the miniseries insist they have made every effort to make sure concerns about racism have been addressed, ALEXANDRA GILL writes

Globe and Mail

VANCOUVER -- A group of thugs gun their way into a dingy Vancouver apartment. They have been sent by Movie Star, a ruthless drug dealer with connections to a Hong Kong triad. When the low-life apartment dweller fails to come up with the money he owes, they savagely carve his face with a butcher's knife.

The gruesome segment is the opening scene of Dragon Boys, a gripping two-part miniseries that premieres tomorrow night on CBC Television. Directed with pulsing momentum by Jerry Ciccoritti and written with layered complexity by Ian Weir, the series has been hailed for its depth and realism by some of the most celebrated Asian stars in Canada, Hong Kong and Hollywood, who leapt to be part of it.

The executives at CBC Television are so pleased with the miniseries they have already told the producers at Omni Film to go ahead with Dragon Boys II, a movie, and are now touting it as a "prime example" of their network's new programming strategy to reach untapped audiences and rake in higher ratings.

But some members of the Chinese community are warning the series could face a backlash. "Members of the Chinese community can't wait to watch it and expect to be infuriated by the stereotypes," Nancy Nam-Ju Han writes in Ricepaper magazine, a Vancouver-based quarterly about Asian Canadian culture that details the controversy in its current issue. Critics have argued that a drama in which the criminals are Chinese-Canadian can be nothing but racist, but others say the series could be the beginning of a new era of complexity in depictions of Asian Canadians on television.

Executive producer Michael Chechik was not prepared to concede that as Caucasians, he, Weir and Ciccoritti had no right to make the series, as some have been saying.

"If Ang Lee, a heterosexual Chinese director, could win an Academy Award for Brokeback Mountain, a movie about homosexual cowboys, why shouldn't we be allowed to make a television drama about another racial group in Canada?" he said last month, at an advance Vancouver screening for cast and crew.

Weir, an English-speaking Canadian of Scottish descent, stresses that the series isn't just a crime story. It's a human story, he says, about families, the immigrant experience and Canada's West Coast.

"When I moved to Vancouver in 1978, it was essentially a small town. Now, it's a world-class Pacific Rim city. It has been completely transformed, for the better. More than any, it's the Chinese culture that has transformed it. And if you're looking to tell a story about the West Coast today, you need to look at Chinese culture as an absolutely dominant part of that story because it's had such a big impact on shaping the community we live in."

The negative response to the miniseries could be muted by the pre-emptive efforts of the producers to address concerns raised early in the production's life. As soon as Dragon Boys was added to the CBC lineup in June 2005, Colleen Leung, a Vancouver documentary producer and community activist, took it upon herself to track down the producers and warn them about the negative buzz that was already building.

"Throwing money into a drama themed specifically on criminals of the Chinese Canadian variety is subtle and devious wanton racism and is utterly unforgivable," said one of the anonymous community leaders Leung later canvassed for opinion and whose comments are quoted in the Ricepaper article.

To answer such charges, the producers hired Leung and historian Jim Wong-Chu as cultural advisers to look over the script and highlight what rang true or what might be insulting.

The subsequent changes were small and subtle, but powerful, says Weir, who had already spent years researching Asian gangs with the help of the local RCMP and learning as much as he could about the Chinese-Canadian experience by picking the brains of his friends and reading contemporary literature.

For example, when Wong-Chu read an early draft, he took an extreme dislike to Inspector Buckles, a lunkheaded -- white -- senior RCMP officer.

"You're not getting it," Wong-Chu complained to Weir. "Why is the boss always white? Why can't it be a Chinese asshole in power?"

Weir later added a second senior RCMP officer, who was Chinese, and added a new layer of complexity to a subplot about generational differences.

As helpful as the community advisers may have been, Weir says his greatest resources, as far as cultural content is concerned, were Byron Mann and Tzi Ma, the show's lead actors.

Ma, a familiar face who has starred in countless Hollywood productions including The Quiet American and The Ladykillers, was so impressed with an early script he simply presumed it was written by a Chinese Canadian or American.

"It rang so true to me," Ma explained by phone, while shooting Rush Hour 3 with Jackie Chan in Vancouver.

"It reminded me of the seventies in New York, when a huge influx of Asian immigrants flooded the city," says Ma, who was doing some social work in Chinatown at the time.

"The city infrastructure couldn't absorb it. The kids were bored because they couldn't communicate. It was easy for gangs to recruit them," says Ma, who plays a father whose son falls in with a gang.

Ma says Dragon Boys is a "seminal" project because it was the first script (or at least the first that he had read) about Asian crime that fully addressed the victims and their families.

"Every character is flawed. It represents us well. It gives us three-dimensionality."

What everyone wants to avoid is a repeat of 1991. That year, CBC Radio aired a miniseries entitled Dim Sum Diaries. Its fifth episode sees a new immigrant from Hong Kong cut down two rare sequoia trees in his front yard because they interfere with his property's feng shui (design harmony). The episode, narrated by a fictional white speaker, was based on a nearly identical incident which had occurred in the tony neighbourhood of Kerrisdale. The aim of the episode had been to combat racist preconceptions. By the end of the segment, written for Morningside by Mark Leiren-Young, the narrator's racist preconceptions undergo a complete sea change.

In real life, however, the drama only heightened racial tensions and sparked an explosion of protest that ricocheted from Vancouver to the House of Commons and back to the CBC in British Columbia, where an apology was eventually issued to representatives of the Chinese-Canadian community, who alleged that the production was racist.

For all its gritty realism, and precisely because of it, Dragon Boys obviously won't please everyone.

Steph Song, the Canadian actress who plays a Southern Cambodian factory worker who is forced into prostitution after coming to Canada, says she, for one, was actually relieved when she heard that the miniseries was being written and directed by Caucasians.

"I was worried that if it were directed or written by Chinese Canadians, there would be too much sympathy," she explained at the preview screening. "I was worried that they would sweep all the drugs under the carpet, that it would be too sanitized, that they might not expose the truths. The truth is what makes a good story."
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Families of war dead ponder separate enshrinement of war criminals at Yasukuni Shrine

Families of war dead ponder separate enshrinement of war criminals at Yasukuni Shrine

An organization formed by families of Japan's war dead will hold a meeting to study whether the Class-A war criminals should be separately enshrined at Tokyo's Yasukuni Shrine.

Sources closed to the group, called Nippon Izokukai, said that members believe they have to discuss fundamental issues as the number of families who lost their relatives in World War II is slowly declining.

Chairman of Nippon Izokukai and former Liberal Democratic Party secretary general Makoto Koga and about 10 other executives will meet at Kudan Hall in central Tokyo on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

Topics of discussion include how to manage the group and the possibility of separately enshrining Class-A war criminals from Yasukuni Shrine.

"Both Izokukai and Yasukuni Shrine should discuss whether worshipping Class-A war criminals at the shrine is right," Koga said during a speech he made on Dec. 12. "We, Izokukai, want to come up with our policy on the issue as early as possible."

Executives are expected to explain what has been discussed in the study meeting during Nippon Izokukai's national conference of members representing chapters across Japan slated for February. (Mainichi)


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How much does the Globe understand Japan's ultranationalism could mean?

Stephen of No BMD, eh? wrote an insightful piece debating against the Globe's supports rearming Japan. Haven't the editors at the Globe read this? Do they have any idea what exactly neocons in Japan want? And Do they know what kind of nationalism/militarization the right-wing extremist want to install? Do they know Japan's rise of ultranationalism could mean racism against its neighbours? Don't just blindly believe anyone who "cooperate" with the American MUST be good guys. I'm so disappointed at the Globe. >:<

The Trouble with Normal: The Globe, Japan and BMD

Last week the Globe and Mail threw its support behind Japanese PM Shinzo Abe's plans to depart yet further from Japan's post-war constitutional traditions, and move towards increased nationalism and militarism.

Citing recent regional developments (e.g North Korea's nuclear and missile tests) that should urge Japan to become a more 'normal' nation, the Globe's editorial board identified some problems with Japan's current laws:
But Japan's armed forces still face unusual limits. They are not supposed to act outside their own borders, even in defence of the homeland, and they are not supposed to come to the aid of an ally through collective defence. The North Korean crisis has underlined just how limiting those constraints could be. If Japan learned that North Korea was about to fire missiles at the Japanese mainland, it would be legally forbidden to order a pre-emptive strike to knock out the missile launchers. If North Korea fired missiles at Hawaii, the ban on collective defence would enjoin it from shooting down the missiles as they flew over Japan -- a failure that might cause Washington to question the value of the U.S.-Japan defence pact.
I see a number of problems with this analysis.

The most obvious is the Globe's refusal to present any reasonable scenarios under which North Korea would launch the hypothetical missile attacks on Japan or Hawaii: are we reading a solution to a problem that doesn't exist?

A further problem has to do with the Globe's grasp of Japan's current Prime Minister's interpretation of international law regarding acts of pre-emptive self-defence in the face of imminent attacks:
Shortly after North Korea's missile launches in July, Defense Agency chief Fukushiro Nukaga said Japan should consider possessing capabilities to strike North Korea's missile sites. Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe [now the PM], in effect a prime minister-in-waiting, also said, "If we accept that there is no other option to prevent an attack ... there is the view that attacking the launch base of the guided missiles is within the constitutional right of self-defense."
Both Nukaga and Abe fall prey to the Globe's serious error of failing to address the circumstances under which North Korea would launch such a hypothetical aggressive attack, but their comments--if taken in their most restrictive sense--nevertheless reflect an understanding of the concept of 'self-defense' that has been widely accepted as part of international customary law, dating back to the 1837 Caroline Incident between the United States and British North America.

So the Globe's legal analysis falls short there, too, in my opinion, since the editorial board's favorite Abe is already way ahead of them, legally speaking.

This brings me to the technical matters suggested by this nightmare Globe scenario:
If North Korea fired missiles at Hawaii, the [constitutional] ban on collective defence would enjoin it from shooting down the missiles as they flew over Japan -- a failure that might cause Washington to question the value of the U.S.-Japan defence pact.
If, three weeks from next Tuesday--and it might as well be three weeks from next Tuesday, for all the thinking the Globe's editorialists have done about how, when and why it might happen--Kim Jong-Il were to decide to launch a nuclear-tipped ballistic missile at Hawaii, he and Shinzo Abe would immediately face a couple of hurdles, neither of them having anything to do with Japan's constitution:
  • First: North Korea has no such nuclear or ballistic-missile capability to launch such an attack; and

  • Second: Japan has no capability to intercept such an attack.
Now, it's true enough that Japan has been co-operating with the United States on the Aegis Sea-based Ballistic Missile Defence program, a program currently configured to deal with the shorter-range ballistic missiles that Aegis's relatively slower interceptor rockets have a certain chance of hitting (i.e. not the hypothetically faster Hawaii-bound missiles postulated by the Globe).

That said, even the faster interceptor missiles that Japan and the US are now developing won't see initial service before the optimistic date of 2013, if current plans and historical cost overruns are anything to go by.

For now, then, we're left with these very modest plans for Japanese-US Aegis BMD cooperation, plans with little power to forestall the dangerous scenario threatening 'abnormal' Japan in the Globe editorial:
In addition to cooperating with the United States on development of technologies for the SM-3 Block II/IIA missile [the faster missile, lying years off], current plans call for Japan to modify four of its Aegis destroyers with the Block 2004 version of the Aegis BMD system between FY2007 and early FY2011 [the slower missile, unable to stop US-bound ICBMs], at a pace of about one ship per year. Under this plan, Japan would have an opportunity in FY2011 and subsequent years to upgrade the ships’ BMD capability to a later Block standard, and to install the Aegis BMD capability on its two remaining Aegis destroyers.
And so the Globe's scenario, offered as evidence of the need for Japan to become more 'normal' (i.e. more militaristic and nationalistic), fails its most basic test: we're years away from seeing anything like such a scenario unfold.

Thank heaven.

For it takes only a moment's thought to realize that the Globe's hypothetical US-Japanese BMD system, which could intercept a North Korean ICBM, could in principle also intercept a Chinese ICBM, with obvious consequences for China's own future reconsideration of its--until now--relatively restrained nuclear posture.

(I want to underline 'relatively' here: I don't consider any current nuclear power's weapons posture to be 'restrained' in the absolute sense, since we are talking about nuclear weapons here.)

Nevertheless, even if the Globe's editors did not expend such a moment's thought before issuing their call for increased Japanese 'normality,' we can be sure the Chinese authorities have done so.

And we can be quite sure they'll pay much more attention to the developing capabilities of such a US-Japan BMD system as the Globe has thoughtlessly endorsed than they will to the public gestures the Globe argues might put to rest regional Asian fears about Japan's return to 'normal' status, gestures like refusing to visit the Yasukuni Shrine or publicly expressing grief about the Rape of Nanking.

As worthy and necessary as such gestures might be, China, North Korea and perhaps other Asian nations will take little comfort from them as long as Japan continues to move along the course towards increased nationalism, militarism and BMD-cooperation that has been advocated by the Globe as the path to being a 'normal' nation.

In more ways than one, Canadians like the Globe's editors should well understand what the trouble with 'normal' really is.

As Bruce Cockburn put it, 'The trouble with normal is it always gets worse.'

Here's hoping the people of Japan and Asia generally ignore the Globe's ill-informed advice on what it means to be a 'normal' nation.
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Japan's neonationalist offensive and the military

Japan's Neonationalist Offensive and the Military
by John Junkerman; Japan Focus; January 03, 2007 ZNet | Japan

When Abe Shinzo was installed as prime minister in September 2006, there was some concern that he would push into high gear the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's proposal (announced in November 2005) to revise Japan's constitution and gut the no-war provisions of Article 9. He is, after all, known as a strong supporter of revision and often boasts that he inherited the DNA of his grandfather Kishi Nobusuke, who began pushing for revision of the constitution in the early 1950s. Kishi created a constitution review commission in the Diet (which proved fruitless) while he himself became prime minister later in that decade. Abe is eager to bring his grandfather's, and the LDP's, dream to fruition.

But Abe adopted a surprising and politically astute strategy, creating what is referred to in Japan as the "soft mood." His first overseas trip, within weeks of taking office, was to Beijing and Seoul to mend relations strained by Koizumi Junichiro's repeated visits to the controversial Yasukuni Shrine. Abe himself has dodged the question of whether he'll visit Yasukuni in the future, assiduously avoided controversial statements, and, on the constitution, announced a go-slow approach that aims to bring about revision within six years (he assumes, with supreme confidence, he'll remain in office that long).

Abe's "soft" offensive (an opposition politician called it the "puppy-dog" approach) has reassured Japan's neighbors and much of the Japanese media and public, but it has masked a very ambitious agenda, whose shape became clear in December with the passage of laws revising the Fundamental Law of Education and changing the status and mission of the Self-Defense Forces. It now appears that Abe's go-slow approach is based on the assumption that he can accomplish much of his agenda without revising the constitution.

The LDP, in coalition with the centrist New Komeito Party, has a solid majority in both houses of the Diet, hence a free hand to legislate at will. Revision of the constitution, however, faces higher hurdles: a two-thirds majority vote in both houses of the Diet, followed by a majority vote in a national referendum. Though there is strong support for revision in the Diet, the public remains divided, especially on the issue of revising Article 9. Most polls show only a third or so of the public supporting revision of the no-war clause, and there is a widespread and growing movement to defend Article 9. A referendum at this point is no sure bet, so Abe's decision to go slow can be seen as a tactical move. In the meantime, as his first three months in office indicate, he is moving aggressively on other fronts that may pave the way for a future constitutional assault.

The Fundamental Law of Education came into force in 1947 as a companion to the Peace Constitution, with the aim of preventing the reemergence of the nationalistic and militaristic state-controlled education system of the wartime years. The law embraced respect for individuality, the development of personality, and the nurturing of love of truth, peace and justice. It also contained a prohibition against "improper control" of education and the requirement that education be directly responsible to the people. Conservatives have long criticized the law, claiming that it overemphasizes individuality and forms the basis for "masochistic" education on the history of Japanese wartime aggression.

The revised law calls for cultivating "civic-mindedness [to contribute to the development of society]" and "an attitude that respects tradition and culture and love of the nation that fostered them." The latter language was watered down from earlier drafts that explicitly stated the goal of teaching "patriotism," but the aim is the same. At the same time, the requirement that education be directly responsible to the people was removed, shifting control over the direction of education from local school boards to the central government. What specific changes this will lead to remain to be seen, but the perennial conflict over the content of history texts, as well as the forced singing of the national anthem at school ceremonies give an indication of what is in store.

A recent analysis in the weekly Shukan Kinyobi revealed that 22 of 25 diet members in Abe's Cabinet, the cabinet secretariat, and his core advisory staff are members of one or both of two ultranationalist alliances within the Diet. One is the Diet branch of the Shinto Association of Spiritual Leadership, an organization dedicated to promoting "Japaneseness," reverence for the imperial family, and worship at Yasukuni Shrine. The other is the diet members alliance in support of the Japan Conference, which is committed to the full menu of neonationalist causes: historical revisionism, revising the constitution and education laws, Yasukuni, and cheerleading for the Self Defense Forces. Before becoming prime minister, Abe served as secretary-general of both of these Diet organizations, as well as of the History Education Alliance, a Diet support group for the Society for History Textbook Reform, which has led the assault on textbook references to Japanese war crimes or what it calls "masochistic history."

Given this "Cabinet of pals," as it has been called -- a group that is thoroughly dyed one color, speaking the same language in an echo chamber of their own design -- it is not surprising that Abe's close ally, Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Shimomura Hakubun would suggest (as he did in October) that the government rescind its official apology, issued in 1993, for the suffering of the estimated 200,000 Asian women who were forced to serve as "comfort women" for the Japanese Imperial Army. Despite archival evidence of the role of the military in running the system and extensive testimony from its victims, the revisionists claim that these women were simply prostitutes like those that service any military force, and Japan has nothing to apologize for. As a result of this revisionist campaign, Japanese history textbooks, which had begun to address the story of the comfort women during the 1990s, no longer mention the issue.

With the revision of the Fundamental Law of Education, which passed the Diet on December 15, this effort to excise the uncomfortable history of colonialism and the Fifteen-Year War (1931-45) from the classroom can be expected to intensify. Japanese secondary schools already do a poor job in teaching modern history, but with their new mandate to teach "love of the nation," the next generation will be increasingly clueless about Japan's wartime excesses and the rationale for maintaining a Peace Constitution.

The upgrading of the Self Defense Force is the second prong of Abe's campaign. Since its creation in 1954, the SDF has been under the administration of the Defense Agency, an agency of the Prime Minister's Office, rather than being a full-fledged Cabinet ministry. This reflected its jerry-rigged status under Article 9 of the constitution, which prohibits Japan from maintaining armed forces. In the context of the Cold War, it was decided that military forces specifically limited to the defense of Japan were allowed, but they would operate under strict constraints.

In recent decades, those constraints were steadily eroded, resulting in the overseas dispatch of SDF forces, first to participate in UN peacekeeping operations during the 1990s and more recently to support the U.S. wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The Air SDF continues to fly supplies into Iraq from Kuwait, while Maritime SDF ships have been providing refueling services to coalition ships in the Indian Ocean since the US-led invasion of Afghanistan in 2001. These steps have greatly expanded the activities of the SDF beyond its original purpose.

As of January 2007, the Defense Agency will become the Ministry of Defense, with independent status in the Cabinet. This has been sold as a measure to improve the morale of SDF members, who reportedly chafe at their perceived second-class status, especially when engaging in joint exercises with foreign militaries. This is not merely a symbolic move for the 240,000-strong military force with the fourth-largest military budget in the world. It is an important step toward institutionalizing and normalizing a military establishment within Japan.

While public attention focused on the status upgrade of the Defense Agency, the press has largely ignored the more significant companion revision of the Self-Defense Forces Law. This revision for the first time defines the SDF's overseas activities as one of its primary missions. This ostensibly defense-only force is now charged and authorized to engage in military activities far from the Japanese archipelago, "in support of the peace and security of international society." Japan's support role in the US wars in Afghanistan and Iraq had required special legislation, as well as a tortured interpretation of the constitution, but these measures will no longer be necessary, as the overseas role of the SDF has now been solidified into law.

In parallel, upon becoming prime minister, Abe announced his intention to review the issue of "collective self-defense" -- the doctrine under which an attack on an ally (the US) is considered an attack on Japan. Collective self-defense has long been understood to be prohibited by the constitution, but Abe has asserted that the constitution can be reinterpreted to make it permissible. Given the ongoing integration of the command and control structures of the SDF and the US military based in Japan, the foundation for collective self-defense is already in place. This last barrier to a full-fledged military alliance has been further eroded by Japan's deployment of the US missile defense system, which was accelerated after North Korea tested a nuclear weapon in October.

Few constraints remain on Japanese remilitarization. But there is one, and it is highly significant. The constitution states that "the right of belligerency of the state will not be recognized." Japan has a military. It will now have a Ministry of Defense. It now claims the right to send its military around the globe. But it doesn't have the ability to declare war and it doesn't have the authority to shoot to kill except in self-defense. Its military may be armed to the teeth, with the highest technology and lethal weaponry, but it is not authorized to pull the trigger. It can't kill. For the present, Japan's forces overseas are restricted to noncombat roles.

The authority to wage war is what Abe and his cohort want. It won't come easily, which is why he is willing to go slow. But every step in that direction, from the ideological framing of history and education to the functional repositioning of Japan's military, creates a "reality on the ground" that is further divorced from the word of the law. Ultimately, they aim to make the disjunction so extreme that there will be no choice but to abandon the Peace Constitution.

John Junkerman is an American documentary filmmaker, based in Tokyo. His recent film, "Japan's Peace Constitution," has been screened widely in Japan by groups dedicated to defending Article 9. Most recently he edited "Gai Shanxi and Her Sisters," a film by Chinese director Ban Zhongyi about "comfort women" in Shanxi Province; the film will premiere in Tokyo on February 17. Information on both films can be found at www.cine.co.jp. "Japan's Peace Constitution" is distributed in North American by First Run Icarus Films.

This article was written for the English pages, now under construction, of the content-rich and graphically inventive webzine "Magazine 9-jo".
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Right-wing extremism grows in Japan

From Trumpet.com:

Right-Wing Extremism Grows in Japan

Thursday, January 4, 2007

Right-wing extremism is increasingly becoming a driving force in Japanese politics and society.

While the news regularly carries stories about how right-wing extremism is growing in Germany, with right-wing parties entering into government and promoting nationalist policies, this same trend is gathering steam in Japan, that other great aggressor in World War ii.

It is shadowy right-wing groups, the Independent reports, that “are at the forefront of a concerted push to get Japan to move away from its post-war pacifism” (Dec. 8, 2006).

This right-wing movement, reports the Washington Post, “is ardently nationalist, reveres the emperor, supports the rebuilding of Japan’s military might and generally bemoans what they call the apologetic strain of Japan’s foreign policy since World War ii. The right-wingers trumpet their patriotism in the sound trucks and at Tokyo’s controversial Yasukuni shrine honoring the country’s militarism.”

They also use violence and other sinister methods to promote their nationalist cause. In February last year, for example, right-wing extremists burned down the house of a prominent liberal politician. “Japan’s police are calling it right-wing terrorism and say such groups are on the rise,” writes the Independent. Members of one such group, Taiko-Sha, “are accused of carrying out fire-bombings, beatings, stabbings, shootings, and even their own ritual suicides, to make a political point” (op. cit.).

Such groups have received little exposure over the years. Now, however, the aggressive nationalism they espouse is becoming mainstream. “[A] resurgent nationalism among some mainstream politicians and North Korea’s recent nuclear testing have meant right-wing groups are now being listened to at the highest levels, and many of the policies they have been seeking are now on the government’s agenda” (ibid.; emphasis ours). Traditionally sensitive topics that have recently become open to political and public discourse—such as stripping the constitution of its pacifist components, developing nuclear weapons, and promoting patriotism in schools—are the very issues right-wing extremists have been pushing for decades.

Manifestations of the popular rise in Japanese nationalism advocated by right-wingers include foreigners being targeted by police, the alleged censorship and intimidation of journalists and scholars who criticize nationalist trends in Japan, the Defense Agency being upgraded to a Defense Ministry, a new school curriculum aimed at instilling in students “an attitude that respects tradition and culture, and love of the nation and homeland,” and teachers being threatened with suspension and loss of pay if they don’t sing the national anthem and salute the flag.

“All of this,” comments the Independent, “is exactly what Japan’s influential and well-organized right-wing movement has been demanding for years.”

Yumi Kikuchi, a writer who attended a meeting in central Tokyo recently to protest against moves to the right, put it bluntly: “If you look at all the laws they passed in the past three years it is preparation for war like we did 60 years ago.”

Naturally, some surrounding Asian nations are eyeing the emerging nationalism in Japan nervously. However, it is not only Japan’s neighbors that should be concerned; Japan’s history shows it can be a threat much further afield. In this context, it is worth noting that the right-wingers also advocate cutting ties with the United States—a trend also likely to be reflected in Japanese society and politics in the future as right-wing sentiment becomes more and more mainstream.
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The mushroom's gone!

WAS:


TODAY:




(caption: BC Place Stadium roof collapsed after a tear in the inflated roof caused it to loose air pressure in Vancouver Friday January 5, 2007. A section of the roor came loose at the concrete rim and began flapping in the wind before tearing. No one was hurt in the collapse. - CP PHOTO/Chuck Stoody)

Winds rip tear at B.C. Place Stadium, forcing roof to deflate

VANCOUVER (CP) - Winds caught a tear in the inflated roof at B.C. Place stadium Friday, ripping away a panel and forcing officials to deflate the rest of the structure as heavy, wet sleet fell on the city.

Fire officials said no one was reported hurt or in danger.

A section of roof came loose at a concrete rim on the building and began flapping in the wind, witnesses said. The fabric dome then came down into the bowl of the stadium.

Stadium officials said after the roof ripped, they deflated it to prevent further damage.

Trevor Holness said he was taking up the turf after a soccer camp earlier this week and had just returned from lunch when he noticed speakers had come down from the ceiling.

Holness, 30, then said he heard a loud sound like a “zoo running through your kitchen.”

He said the roof looked like someone was shaking out a rug and that he then watched as a tear ripped up the side of the roof.

“It was very scary,” Holness said. “The sound was the scariest about it. It sent shivers down your spine.”

Holness said there were about 30 people working at the stadium Friday, a skeleton crew compared to the number of staff that would normally have been there.

Howard Crosley, general manager of the stadium, told a news conference that one panel of the roof had been ripped off.

The major concern is the accumulation of water, Crosley said.

“We don't know how long it will take to repair but we anticipate that it will be done in short order,” he said.

“It's one panel, it's reparable and we do have a panel that's being flown in.”

Crosley said weather was the likely cause of the tear, but that the matter is still being investigated.

The roof is inspected every year and that its structural integrity has been reported as “very good,” Crosley said.

The roof is held up by air pressure, which means that any tear can cause it to collapse.

There was no event going on in the stadium, which is home to the B.C. Lions of the Canadian Football League.

The stadium is also used for some concerts and other shows and sporting events year round. The next event isn't scheduled for 20 days.

B.C. Place is to be the site of the opening ceremonies for the 2010 Winter Games. It will mark the first time ever that the Olympic ceremonies are held indoors.

But Delta North Delta New Democrat MLA Guy Gentner now questions responses he got from the B.C. Liberal government in May about the safety of the roof at B.C. Place Stadium.

At the time, then tourism and sports minister Olga Ilich assured the legislature that “apparently, the roof is expected to last another 15 to 20 years if it's maintained properly in its current state.”

On Friday, Gentner said safety should come first.

“I don't care what your politics are . . . . the safety of the people and of your infrastructure is of paramount importance and to just sort of slough it off, I think, is highly irresponsible.”

Gentner said he is very relieved that there appear to be no injuries, adding that it could have been catastrophic if there had been a major event inside.

During the leadup to Expo '86, B.C. Place was hailed as a marvel of construction and the place to be for sports and entertainment.

The facility drew countless trade shows, hosted Grey Cup games and music luminaries such as Michael Jackson, the Rolling Stones and U2.

But B.C. Place has become more of an eyesore in recent years.

Some events that would have taken place there were booked by nearby GM Place as the stadium drew increasing criticism for apparent neglect.


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Vancouver area housing prices 4Q 2006

STD 2-STOREY






Price 4Q 2006 Est.
Taxes
Est.
Rental
Price 3Q 2006 Price 4Q 2005 Chg. 1 Year
Ladner 455,000 - -
425,000 7.1
N. Vancouver 640,000 3,200 2,000 610,000 600,000 6.7
Richmond 520,000 - - 520,000 433,000 20.1
Surrey 370,000 - -

-
Tsawwassen 480,000 - -
450,000 6.7
Vancouver E. 544,000 - - 536,000 470,000 15.7
Vancouver W. 1,150,000 5,750 3,800 1,150,000 950,000 21.1
W. Vancouver 880,000 3,300 2,500 880,000 795,000 10.7







STD CONDO APT





Price 4Q 2006 Est.
Taxes
Est.
Rental
Price 3Q 2006 Price 4Q 2005 Chg. 1 Year
Ladner 235,000 - -
210,000 11.9
N. Vancouver 270,000 1,200 1,000 270,000 241,000 12
Richmond 255,000 - - 255,000 195,000 30.8
Surrey 145,000 - -

-
Tsawwassen 270,000 - -
245,000 10.2
Vancouver E. 284,000 - - 275,000 237,000 19.8
Vancouver W. 575,000 2,875 2,000 550,000 500,000 15
W. Vancouver 415,000 1,600 1,300 370,000 360,000 15.3







STD TOWNHOUSE





Price 4Q 2006 Est.
Taxes
Est.
Rental
Price 3Q 2006 Price 4Q 2005 Chg. 1 Year
Ladner 350,000 - -
325,000 7.7
N. Vancouver 570,000 2,200 1,400 495,000 490,000 16.3
Richmond 335,000 - - 335,000 284,000 18
Surrey 290,000 - -
260,000 11.5
Tsawwassen 380,000 - -
350,000 8.6
Vancouver E. 372,000 - - 361,000 318,000 17
Vancouver W. 700,000 3,500 2,500 675,000 600,000 16.7
W. Vancouver 639,000 2,500 1,800 589,000 589,000 8.5

SOURCE: ROYAL LEPAGE

See also:

Vancouver area housing prices 4Q 2006
Vancouver Area housing prices 3Q 2006
Vancouver Area housing prices 2Q 2006
Vancouver Area housing prices 1Q 2006
Vancouver home prices to rise by 7% in 2007

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Toronto area house prices Jan - Dec 2006

Toronto area house prices Jan - Dec 2006



AVG PRICE MED PRICE
EAST DISTRICT

ALL
$281,748 $262,000
Detached house $373,346 $355,119
Condo Apartment $211,131 $205,666
Condo Townhouse $202,855 $202,583








WEST DISTRICT

ALL
$331,340 $295,000
Detached house $424,431 $396,900
Condo Apartment $203,483 $181,387
Condo Townhouse $234,534 $227,954








CENTRAL DISTRICT
ALL
$454,130 $325,500
Detached house $802,829 $715,429
Condo Apartment $301,949 $255,154
Condo Townhouse $418,773 $375,563








NORTH DISTRICT

ALL
$383,710 $345,000
Detached house $410,360 $365,966
Condo Apartment $228,773 $217,675
Condo Townhouse $278,490 $261,471
















ALL DISTRICT SINGLE FAMILY DWELLING PRICES
2006


January
$4,587 $332,687
February
$6,756 $353,928
March
8707 $353,134
April
8361 $366,683
May
9434 $365,537
June
8730 $358,035
July
7082 $342,034
August
6976 $338,192
September
6622 $349,142
October
6876 $356,423
November
6281 $355,727
December
4447 $336,217
Year-to-Date
83084 $351,941

SOURCE: TORONTO REAL ESTATE BOARD


TORONTO, January 4, 2007 -- Resale housing activity in December increased by four per cent compared to the same month a year ago, Toronto Real Estate Board President Dorothy Mason announced today.

“All year long the market has remained very stable,” Mrs. Mason said. “December’s strong showing gives consumers even more confidence that there is a solid foundation in place as we begin the new year.”

The elevated activity at the end of the year helped propel 2006 to within just 1.2 per cent of the record sales total set in 2005.

Jason Mercer, CMHC’s Senior Market Analyst for the GTA, argued that a strong economy is behind the upbeat performance:

“Households remained confident in their ability to purchase a home last year,” said Mr. Mercer. “Furthermore, steady job growth in a number of different sectors and very low mortgage rates will keep buyers upbeat about home ownership in 2007."

In Don Mills (C13), 54 per cent more overall transactions took place during the month compared to last December, fueled in part by strong condominium activity.

A 54 per cent increase in overall sales was recorded in Etobicoke’s South Humber neighbourhood (W07), also helped by elevated condominium transactions.

East of Toronto, Pickering (E13) showed an overall sales increase of 30 per cent compared to December 2005, while in West Markham / Langstaff (N01), strong condominium sales led to a 63 per cent increase in overall transactions during the month, compared to a year ago.

“The market is on solid footing and is in excellent shape heading into 2007,” TREB’s President said. The winter season is an excellent time to be active in this healthy market, whether starting out as a first time buyer or making a move to a different home.”


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BC creates 51,000 jobs in 2006

Labour Force Survey December 2006

Employment increased by an estimated 62,000 in December, pushing the unemployment rate back down to the 30-year low of 6.1% (-0.2 percentage points). Employment grew by 2.1% (+345,000) in 2006, the highest growth rate since 2002. This was the 14th consecutive year of employment increases in Canada.

Alberta surged ahead in employment growth in 2006, charting its largest growth rate in 26 years (+6.0%). Saskatchewan, Newfoundland and Labrador, and British Columbia also finished the year above the national employment growth rate.

Over the course of 2006, seven provinces hit record high employment rates while six reached 30-year record low unemployment rates.

There were increases in both full- and part-time employment in December. However, in 2006, employment growth was driven by full time, which accounted for an estimated 80% of employment gains.

With continued strength in employment, average hourly wages stood at an estimated $20.00 in December 2006, an increase of 2.6% from 12 months ago. Alberta's tight labour market continued to put pressure on the province's wages, which rose 5.9% from a year ago to $21.60, the highest growth rate in the country. Alberta surpassed Ontario throughout 2006 for the highest hourly wages.

Employment increased in several industries in 2006, including natural resources; business, building and other support services; finance, insurance, real estate and leasing; health care and social assistance; "other services" and construction. There were declines in manufacturing and information, culture and recreational services.

In 2006, almost two-thirds of all the employment gains were among adult women. The proportion of women aged 25 and over who were working hit a record high in December 2006. This brought their unemployment rate to a 30-year low by year end, lower than that of adult men.

After two years of declines, the participation rate increased slightly in 2006, entirely due to increased participation among adult women.

More working in Ontario in December, but not enough to push growth for the province above the national average in 2006

In Ontario, employment increased by an estimated 42,000 in December, bringing total gains for the year to 1.8% (+113,000). Most of this province's employment gains in 2006 were in the service sector, including health care and social assistance, trade and "other services", while declines in manufacturing continued. Since the peak in November 2002, manufacturing declines in the province have totalled 130,000 (-11.6%). Although a substantial loss, this is still only half of the previous decline of the early 1990s recession, when factory employment in Ontario fell by 24.4% (-260,000).

Unlike the national trend towards more full-time gains in 2006, almost two-thirds of Ontario's employment increases were in part time. The unemployment rate for this province ended the year at 6.1%, similar to the rate of 12 months ago.

In Quebec, there were fewer people searching for work in December, bringing the unemployment rate to a 30-year low of 7.5%. Over the course of 2006, there were employment gains in finance, insurance, real estate and leasing; business, building and other support services; transportation and warehousing; and professional, scientific and technical services. However, declines in manufacturing and construction dampened overall growth. This left employment up only 0.9%, less than half the national growth rate.

The West shines in 2006


Despite a pause in December, Alberta's employment rose substantially for the year (+6.0% or 109,000), its largest rate of growth since 1980. Although Alberta represents only 10% of working-age Canadians, it accounted for almost one-third of all employment growth in 2006. Gains varied across the goods and service sectors, with above average growth in natural resources; manufacturing; construction; educational services; health care and social assistance; and accommodation and food services.

Employment in Saskatchewan was up an estimated 3,000 in December, bringing total gains for the year to 23,000 (+4.8%). December's employment growth also boosted the employment rate to a record high of 67.4%. Saskatchewan followed Alberta (70.9%) with the second-highest proportion of their working-age population employed. Saskatchewan's employment gains in 2006 were mainly in trade; construction; professional, scientific and technical services; natural resources; and agriculture.

British Columbia also had employment gains in December (+10,000), which brought year-to-date growth to 51,000 (+2.4%). In December 2006, 62.7% of British Columbia's working-age population was employed, a record high. Over the year, employment gains in natural resources, manufacturing; construction; business, building and other support services; finance, insurance, real estate and leasing; educational services and health care and social assistance more than offset losses in information, culture and recreation; trade; and accommodation and food services.

Unemployment rates in the West continued to be below that of the national average throughout 2006.

Although there was little change in employment in Newfoundland and Labrador in December, employment was up 3.8% (+8,000) from 12 months ago. This was the largest employment increase since 2001 for this province, moving their employment rate up 2.8 percentage points to 51.3% by December 2006. Employment growth was spread across several goods and service industries.

Strength spread across several industries in 2006

There was strong employment growth across a number of industries in Canada in 2006: natural resources (+10.9%); business, building and other support services (+8.8%); finance, insurance, real estate and leasing (+6.9%); health care and social assistance (+5.8%); "other services" (+4.8%) and construction (+3.5%). However, there was continued weakness in manufacturing (-2.7%) and declines in information, culture and recreational services (-2.6%).

Although there was no change in employment in natural resources in December, this industry has shown remarkable strength in the last year (+34,000). This continues a trend that began four years ago. Most of this growth has come from Alberta in the mining, oil and gas sector. British Columbia also contributed to the 2006 growth in mining, oil and gas as well as in forestry and logging.

There was an employment increase of 12,000 in business, building and other support services in December. This brings total gains for the year to 58,000, and follows strong growth from the previous year.

While there was little change in finance, insurance, real estate and leasing in December, employment was up by 69,000 since December 2005, mostly in real estate and leasing.

Employment increased by an estimated 15,000 in health care and social assistance in December, which brought total gains to 100,000 in 2006. Each province had employment increases in this industry, but the largest were in Ontario and the western provinces. Employment also increased in "other services" in December (+20,000), bringing employment gains for the year to 32,000, with most of the increase in Ontario.

Although construction employment was up for the year (+37,000), the growth rate was only about half that of the previous two years. The majority of growth in 2006 was in Alberta and British Columbia.

Manufacturing employment declined by 2.7% (-59,000) in 2006, bringing total losses since the start of the decline in November 2002 to 9.0% (-216,000). In 2006, the losses were primarily in Ontario and Quebec. In contrast, large gains in manufacturing were seen in Alberta, British Columbia and Manitoba over the course of the year (+32,000).

Information, culture and recreational services also saw large declines in 2006 (-19,000), driven primarily by weakness in British Columbia.

Self-employment increased by 49,000 in December. Despite this jump, there were fewer self-employed workers in 2006 than the previous year. Most of the employment growth in 2006 was among private sector employees (+3.1% or 332,000), three times the rate of growth for the public sector.

Growth in full time and for adult women in 2006


December's employment increase was in both full time (+37,000) and part time (+25,000). Although the vast majority of gains in 2006 were full time (+278,000 or 2.1%), part-time employment was also up 2.3% (+67,000).

Employment was up an estimated 36,000 for adult women in December, with total gains of 215,000 (+3.4%) in 2006, most of which were full time. By comparison, employment among adult men was up only 1.3% (+93,000). The proportion of adult women who were working hit a record high of 58.5% in December 2006. This brought their unemployment rate to a 30-year low of 4.9%, lower than that of adult men at 5.3%.

With an increase of 15,000 in December, youth employment was up 1.4% or 36,000 over the year. This follows a similar growth rate for the previous two years. The youth unemployment rate, at 11.2% in December 2006, has been steadily declining, approaching its lowest rate since 1989.

Annual averages

The analysis presented above describes labour market trends in 2006 by looking at the change in estimates from December 2005 to December 2006. This indicator picks up the more recent labour market trends for the year but can be influenced by unusual spikes or declines in the end points used to calculate the change.

An alternative indicator of labour market trends is the annual average, which is an average of the 12 months of the year and is usually compared with the 12-month average of the previous year. The change in the annual average is an indicator that better reflects longer trends. Annual average estimates for 2006 are now available on CANSIM (tables 282-0001 to 282-0099).
Yukon and Northwest Territories' annual average unemployment rates as low as western provinces

Among the territories, only Nunavut recorded annual employment growth in 2006 compared to 2005 (+700 or 9.3%), pushing their annual average unemployment rate down to an estimated 10.3% in 2006 (-2.2 percentage points).

The Yukon's annual average unemployment rate declined to 4.3% (-0.6 percentage points) from 2005 to 2006, while the rate for Northwest Territories remained the same at 5.4%. These low unemployment rates are similar to the rates seen in the western provinces.


Nov '06
Dec '06
Nov - Dec '06 Dec '05 -
Dec '06
Nov -
Dec '06
Dec '05 - Dec '06

thousands change in thousands % change
Quebec





Population 6,277.80 6,282.80 5 66.9 0.1 1.1
Labour force 4,111.20 4,095.30 -15.9 4.9 -0.4 0.1
Employment 3,782.10 3,789.20 7.1 34.2 0.2 0.9
Full-time 3,108.90 3,110.10 1.2 36 0 1.2
Part-time 673.2 679.1 5.9 -1.8 0.9 -0.3
Unemployment 329.2 306.1 -23.1 -29.2 -7 -8.7
Participation rate 65.5 65.2 -0.3 -0.6 ... ...
Unemployment rate 8 7.5 -0.5 -0.7 ... ...
Employment rate 60.2 60.3 0.1 -0.1 ... ...







Ontario





Population 10,281.30 10,290.90 9.6 138.1 0.1 1.4
Labour force 6,948.70 6,967.90 19.2 108.3 0.3 1.6
Employment 6,504.60 6,546.20 41.6 112.8 0.6 1.8
Full-time 5,343.10 5,354.50 11.4 41.9 0.2 0.8
Part-time 1,161.50 1,191.70 30.2 70.9 2.6 6.3
Unemployment 444.1 421.7 -22.4 -4.5 -5 -1.1
Participation rate 67.6 67.7 0.1 0.1 ... ...
Unemployment rate 6.4 6.1 -0.3 -0.1 ... ...
Employment rate 63.3 63.6 0.3 0.2 ... ...







Alberta





Population 2,684.00 2,692.10 8.1 104.9 0.3 4.1
Labour force 1,973.80 1,974.20 0.4 94.7 0 5
Employment 1,911.90 1,908.30 -3.6 108.5 -0.2 6
Full-time 1,615.20 1,615.40 0.2 116.8 0 7.8
Part-time